On 2026-08-14, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 495.4 USD, down 0.30% on the day. Its 20-day return of +25.79% is in the 98th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 70.92 is in the 93rd percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 71.5% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. Its RSI last entered overbought 15 days ago (2026-07-30) and oversold 50 days ago (2026-06-25). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 450.24 / 412.78 / 432.48 USD, with price +10.03% / +20.02% / +14.55% against them. Its moving averages stack 20-day > 200-day > 50-day. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 10.53% below the high and 41.87% above the low. The high was set 290 days ago (2025-10-28) and the low 50 days ago (2026-06-25). It is 10.81% below its all-time high, set 379 days ago (2025-07-31). Its 20-day volatility is 3.842% daily, in the 95th percentile of its history since 1986. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 1.371%, 20-day 3.842%, 60-day 2.965%, and 120-day 2.414% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 13.8 USD, 2.79% of price. It has returned -0.92% over 5 days, +6.60% over 10 days, +25.79% over 20 days, +18.68% over 60 days, +28.85% over 120 days, and -4.84% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.60 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.66 / correlation +0.51 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +21.39% (20-day), +12.80% (60-day), and -25.24% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.19 (52-week); -0.34 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-14, prior 2026-08-13)
close 495.40
change -1.48 (-0.298%)
range (as of 2026-08-14)
range 6.09
close pos 24.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-14)
20d MA 450.24 price above by +10.03%
50d MA 412.78 price above by +20.02%
200d MA 432.48 price above by +14.55%
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
volatility (as of 2026-08-14)
20d stdev 3.842% daily ≈ 61.0% annualized (×√252) (95th pct of own history, since 1986 (9951 obs))
term struct 5d 1.371% · 20d 3.842% · 60d 2.965% · 120d 2.414% daily
vs easing-2024 avg 2.27× (3.842% vs 1.696% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-14)
ATR(14) 13.80
ATR% 2.79% (62nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9957 obs))
range/ATR 44.1%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-14)
RVOL 0.42x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 2nd pct of own history, since 1986 (9951 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-14)
high 553.72 (-10.53% from high) [2025-10-28, 290d ago]
low 349.20 (+41.87% from low) [2026-06-25, 50d ago]
drawdown -10.81% from all-time high, 379d ago (2025-07-31)
momentum (as of 2026-08-14)
RSI(14) 70.92 (93rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9957 obs))
last overbought 15d ago (2026-07-30)
last oversold 50d ago (2026-06-25)
MACD (as of 2026-08-14)
MACD(12,26,9) +28.58 (above signal) signal +25.06 hist +3.52
returns (as of 2026-08-14)
5d return -0.92%
10d return +6.60%
20d return +25.79%
60d return +18.68%
120d return +28.85%
252d return -4.84%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.56% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.62%
tightening-2015 1.42%
ZIRP-2019 1.91%
tightening-2022 1.94%
easing-2024 1.70%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-13)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.34 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.19 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-14)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.66 corr +0.51 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.60 corr +0.53 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +21.39% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 +12.80% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 -25.24% rel (252d return)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.58 corr +0.36 (26w)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.71 corr +0.46 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (75 days)