Microsoft (MSFT): 20-day return +23.88% (98th pct)

On 2026-08-13, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 496.88 USD, up 0.90% on the day. Its 20-day return of +23.88% is in the 98th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 71.84 is in the 94th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 72.2% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 445.16 / 411.41 / 432.66 USD, with price +11.62% / +20.77% / +14.84% against them. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 10.27% below the high and 42.29% above the low. Its 20-day volatility is 3.889% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 14.4 USD, 2.90% of price. It has returned -0.60% over 5 days and +17.32% over 60 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.59 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.65 / correlation +0.51 (26-week). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.19 (52-week); -0.34 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.

=== MICROSOFT (MSFT)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-08-13, prior 2026-08-12)
    close       496.88
    change      +4.45  (+0.904%)
  range            (as of 2026-08-13)
    range       8.33
    close pos   46.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-08-13)
     20d MA     445.16   price above by +11.62%
     50d MA     411.41   price above by +20.77%
    200d MA     432.66   price above by +14.84%
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
  volatility       (as of 2026-08-13)
    20d stdev   3.889% daily ≈ 61.7% annualized (×√252)   (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9950 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  2.29× (3.889% vs 1.698% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-08-13)
    ATR(14)    14.40
    ATR%        2.90%   (66th pct of own history, since 1986 (9956 obs))
    range/ATR   57.9%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-08-13)
    RVOL        0.59x  (today vs 20-day average volume)
    pctile      8th pct of own history, since 1986 (9950 obs)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-08-13)
    high        553.72   (-10.27% from high)
    low         349.20   (+42.29% from low)
  momentum         (as of 2026-08-13)
    RSI(14)     71.84   (94th pct of own history, since 1986 (9956 obs))
  MACD             (as of 2026-08-13)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +29.35   signal +24.18   hist +5.17 (above signal)
  returns          (as of 2026-08-13)
     5d return  -0.60%
    20d return  +23.88%
    60d return  +17.32%
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis       2.5611%   (from 1986-03-13)
    ZIRP-2009        1.6240%
    tightening-2015  1.4234%
    ZIRP-2019        1.9115%
    tightening-2022  1.9351%
    easing-2024      1.6976%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-08-12)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.34 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.19 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-08-13)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.65  corr +0.51  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.59  corr +0.53  (52w)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-28  (76 days)