On 2026-08-19, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 484.31 USD, up 0.56% on the day. Its 20-day return of +24.07% is in the 98th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 63.53 is in the 79th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 66.1% of its 52-week range. Its RSI last entered overbought 20 days ago (2026-07-30) and oversold 55 days ago (2026-06-25). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 463.04 / 416.57 / 431.67 USD, with price +4.59% / +16.26% / +12.20% against them. Its moving averages stack 20-day > 200-day > 50-day. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 12.54% below the high and 38.69% above the low. The high was set 295 days ago (2025-10-28) and the low 55 days ago (2026-06-25). It is 12.81% below its all-time high, set 384 days ago (2025-07-31). Its 20-day volatility is 3.866% daily, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1986. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 1.581%, 20-day 3.866%, 60-day 2.994%, and 120-day 2.417% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 13.27 USD, 2.74% of price. It has returned -1.65% over 5 days, -0.65% over 10 days, +24.07% over 20 days, +15.71% over 60 days, +20.56% over 120 days, and -6.34% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.59 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.69 / correlation +0.52 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +21.29% (20-day), +12.57% (60-day), and -25.86% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.21 (52-week); -0.33 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-19, prior 2026-08-18)
close 484.31
change +2.68 (+0.556%)
range (as of 2026-08-19)
range 9.74
close pos 48.9% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-19)
20d MA 463.04 price above by +4.59%
50d MA 416.57 price above by +16.26%
200d MA 431.67 price above by +12.20%
200d MA slope -1.34% over 20 sessions (falling)
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-03 (16d ago)
20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-08-11 (8d ago)
50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-01-21 (210d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-08-19)
20d stdev 3.866% daily ≈ 61.4% annualized (×√252) (96th pct of own history, since 1986 (9954 obs))
5d vol 1.581% daily (53rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9969 obs))
60d vol 2.994% daily (90th pct of own history, since 1986 (9914 obs))
120d vol 2.417% daily (76th pct of own history, since 1986 (9854 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.28× (3.866% vs 1.697% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-19)
ATR(14) 13.27
ATR% 2.74% (60th pct of own history, since 1986 (9960 obs))
range/ATR 73.4%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-19)
RVOL 0.52x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 5th pct of own history, since 1986 (9954 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-19)
high 553.72 (-12.54% from high) [2025-10-28, 295d ago]
low 349.20 (+38.69% from low) [2026-06-25, 55d ago]
drawdown -12.81% from all-time high, 384d ago (2025-07-31)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -37.56% (2021-11-19 343.11 -> 2022-11-03 214.25, 349d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-06-15 (224d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-08-19)
RSI(14) 63.53 (79th pct of own history, since 1986 (9960 obs))
last overbought 20d ago (2026-07-30)
last oversold 55d ago (2026-06-25)
MACD (as of 2026-08-19)
MACD(12,26,9) +23.05 (below signal) signal +24.76 hist -1.71
returns (as of 2026-08-19)
5d return -1.65%
10d return -0.65%
20d return +24.07%
60d return +15.71%
120d return +20.56%
252d return -6.34%
YTD return +0.14%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.56% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.62%
tightening-2015 1.42%
ZIRP-2019 1.91%
tightening-2022 1.94%
easing-2024 1.70%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-18)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.33 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.21 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-19)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.69 corr +0.52 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.59 corr +0.53 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +21.29% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 +12.57% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 -25.86% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.85 corr +0.41 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.94 corr +0.48 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 +22.55% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +15.91% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -30.42% rel (252d return)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.58 corr +0.37 (26w)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.70 corr +0.46 (52w)
vs XLK +22.20% rel (20d return)
vs XLK +13.90% rel (60d return)
vs XLK -44.28% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (70 days)