On 2026-08-21, Microsoft (MSFT) closed at 483.24 USD, up 0.43% on the day. Its 20-day return of +26.60% is in the 99th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 62.42 is in the 77th percentile of its history since 1986. It trades at 65.5% of its 52-week range. Its RSI last entered overbought 22 days ago (2026-07-30) and oversold 57 days ago (2026-06-25). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 473.09 / 419.84 / 431.31 USD, with price +2.15% / +15.10% / +12.04% against them. Its moving averages stack 20-day > 200-day > 50-day. Its 52-week range is 349.2–553.72 USD; it closed 12.73% below the high and 38.38% above the low. The high was set 297 days ago (2025-10-28) and the low 57 days ago (2026-06-25). It is 13.00% below its all-time high, set 386 days ago (2025-07-31). Its 20-day volatility is 3.803% daily, in the 95th percentile of its history since 1986. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 1.503%, 20-day 3.803%, 60-day 2.990%, and 120-day 2.406% daily. Annualized, these are 5-day 23.9%, 20-day 60.4%, 60-day 47.5%, and 120-day 38.2%. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 12.33 USD, 2.55% of price. It has returned -2.45% (21st pctile) over 5 days, -3.35% (20th) over 10 days, +26.60% (99th) over 20 days, +17.10% (81st) over 60 days, +21.25% (73rd) over 120 days, and -4.45% (20th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +1.59 / correlation +0.53 (52-week); beta +1.68 / correlation +0.52 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +23.06% (20-day), +15.05% (60-day), and -24.44% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.20 (52-week); -0.31 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-28.
=== MICROSOFT (MSFT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-21, prior 2026-08-20)
close 483.24
change +2.09 (+0.434%)
listing Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-08-21)
range 7.83
close pos 60.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-21)
20d MA 473.09 price above by +2.15%
50d MA 419.84 price above by +15.10%
200d MA 431.31 price above by +12.04%
200d MA slope -1.10% over 20 sessions (falling)
price > all MAs
stack: 20d > 200d > 50d
20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-03 (18d ago)
20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-08-11 (10d ago)
50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-01-21 (212d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-08-21)
20d stdev 3.803% daily ≈ 60.4% annualized (×√252) (95th pct of own history, since 1986 (9956 obs))
5d vol 1.503% daily ≈ 23.9% annualized (×√252) (50th pct of own history, since 1986 (9971 obs))
60d vol 2.990% daily ≈ 47.5% annualized (×√252) (90th pct of own history, since 1986 (9916 obs))
120d vol 2.406% daily ≈ 38.2% annualized (×√252) (76th pct of own history, since 1986 (9856 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 2.24× (3.803% vs 1.695% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-21)
ATR(14) 12.33
ATR% 2.55% (53rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9962 obs))
range/ATR 63.5%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-21)
RVOL 0.61x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 10th pct of own history, since 1986 (9956 obs)
avg vol 63d 39,621,119 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-21)
high 553.72 (-12.73% from high) [2025-10-28, 297d ago]
low 349.20 (+38.38% from low) [2026-06-25, 57d ago]
drawdown -13.00% from all-time high, 386d ago (2025-07-31)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -37.56% (2021-11-19 343.11 -> 2022-11-03 214.25, 349d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-06-15 (224d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-08-21)
RSI(14) 62.42 (77th pct of own history, since 1986 (9962 obs))
last overbought 22d ago (2026-07-30)
last oversold 57d ago (2026-06-25)
MACD (as of 2026-08-21)
MACD(12,26,9) +19.92 (below signal) signal +23.25 hist -3.32
returns (as of 2026-08-21)
5d return -2.45% from 495.40 on 2026-08-14 (21st pct of own history, since 1986 (9971 obs))
10d return -3.35% from 499.99 on 2026-08-07 (20th pct of own history, since 1986 (9966 obs))
20d return +26.60% from 381.70 on 2026-07-24 (99th pct of own history, since 1986 (9956 obs))
60d return +17.10% from 412.67 on 2026-05-27 (81st pct of own history, since 1986 (9916 obs))
120d return +21.25% from 398.55 on 2026-03-02 (73rd pct of own history, since 1986 (9856 obs))
252d return -4.45% from 505.72 on 2025-08-20 (20th pct of own history, since 1986 (9724 obs))
YTD return -0.08%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 2.56% (from 1986-03-13)
ZIRP-2009 1.62%
tightening-2015 1.42%
ZIRP-2019 1.91%
tightening-2022 1.94%
easing-2024 1.69%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-20)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.31 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.20 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-21)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.68 corr +0.52 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.59 corr +0.53 (52w)
vs S&P 500 +23.06% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 +15.05% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 -24.44% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.85 corr +0.41 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.94 corr +0.48 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 +22.33% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +19.30% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -30.52% rel (252d return)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.58 corr +0.37 (26w)
vs XLK (Information Technology) beta +0.70 corr +0.46 (52w)
vs XLK +22.38% rel (20d return)
vs XLK +17.71% rel (60d return)
vs XLK -45.53% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-28 (68 days)