mercatusdata

NVIDIA (NVDA): 20-day volatility 1.395% daily (2nd pct)

On 2026-10-12, NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at 226.32 USD, down 1.29% on the day. At the 2026-10-12 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at 78.4% of its 52-week range. At the 2026-10-12 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an RSI(14) of 49.35, in the 36th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 20-day return of +7.28% is in the 62nd percentile of its history since 1999. The NVIDIA (NVDA) RSI last entered the overbought zone 152 days ago (2026-05-13) and the oversold zone 556 days ago (2025-04-04). It is trading above its 50- and 200-day but below its 20-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NVIDIA (NVDA) were 227.5 / 222.59 / 202.34 USD, with price -0.52% / +1.68% / +11.85% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-12 close, the 52-week range of NVIDIA (NVDA) was 164.27–243.37 USD; it closed 7.01% below the high (3.1× its typical daily range) and 37.77% above the low (11.1× its typical daily range). The high was set 6 days ago (2026-10-06) and the low 196 days ago (2026-03-30). It is 7.01% below its all-time high, set 6 days ago (2026-10-06). Its 20-day volatility is 1.395% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1999. Its daily realised volatility is 1.166% over 5 days, 1.395% over 20 days, 2.305% over 60 days and 2.484% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 18.5%, 22.1%, 36.6% and 39.4% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.59 USD, 2.47% of price. It has returned -5.27% (18th percentile since 1999) over 5 days, -1.11% (37th) over 10 days, +7.28% (62nd) over 20 days, +11.59% (52nd) over 60 days, +13.23% (42nd) over 120 days and +17.53% (33rd) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.66 and a correlation of +0.61 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +2.18 and a correlation of +0.61. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -5.69% (5-day), -2.72% (10-day), +4.82% (20-day), +6.91% (60-day) and +1.61% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.01 over 52 weeks and -0.05 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-17.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-12.

=== NVIDIA (NVDA)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-12, prior 2026-10-09)
    close       226.32
    change      -2.96  (-1.291%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -0.06% · Nasdaq 100 -0.70% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-12)
    range       3.96
    close pos   35.9% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-12)
     20d MA     227.50   price below by -0.52%
     50d MA     222.59   price above by +1.68%
    200d MA     202.34   price above by +11.85%
    200d MA slope  +2.39% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-06   (67d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-04-20   (175d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27   (472d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-12)
    20d stdev   1.395% daily ≈ 22.1% annualised (×√252)   (2nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6295 obs))
      5d vol     1.166% daily ≈ 18.5% annualised (×√252)   (8th pct of own history, since 1999 (6310 obs))
     60d vol     2.305% daily ≈ 36.6% annualised (×√252)   (20th pct of own history, since 1999 (6255 obs))
    120d vol     2.484% daily ≈ 39.4% annualised (×√252)   (22nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6195 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.46× (1.395% vs 3.006% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-12)
    ATR(14)    5.59
    ATR%        2.47%   (7th pct of own history, since 1999 (6301 obs))
    range/ATR   70.8%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-12)
    RVOL        0.64x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6295 obs)
    avg vol 63d 119,446,511  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-12)
    high        243.37   (-7.01% from high)   [2026-10-06, 6d ago]
    low         164.27   (+37.77% from low)   [2026-03-30, 196d ago]
    drawdown    -7.01% from all-time high, 6d ago (2026-10-06)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -66.36% (2021-11-29 33.38 -> 2022-10-14 11.23, 319d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-05-25 (223d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-12)
    RSI(14)     49.35   (36th pct of own history, since 1999 (6301 obs))
    last overbought   152d ago (2026-05-13)
    last oversold   556d ago (2025-04-04)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-12)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +3.28 (below signal)   signal +3.71   hist -0.44
  returns          (as of 2026-10-12)
      5d return  -5.27%   from 238.90 on 2026-10-05   (18th pct of own history, since 1999 (6310 obs))
     10d return  -1.11%   from 228.86 on 2026-09-28   (37th pct of own history, since 1999 (6305 obs))
     20d return  +7.28%   from 210.96 on 2026-09-14   (62nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6295 obs))
     60d return  +11.59%   from 202.81 on 2026-07-17   (52nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6255 obs))
    120d return  +13.23%   from 199.88 on 2026-04-21   (42nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6195 obs))
    252d return  +17.53%   from 192.57 on 2025-10-09   (33rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6063 obs))
    YTD return  +21.35%   from 186.50 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 6.46%   (from 1999-01-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.05%
    tightening (2015–2018)   2.87%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.05%
    tightening (2022–2023)   3.56%
    easing (2024– )          3.01%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-08)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.01 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-12)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.18  corr +0.61  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.66  corr +0.61  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -5.69% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -2.72% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +4.82% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +6.91% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +1.61% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.21  corr +0.65  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.19  corr +0.67  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -3.92% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -2.40% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +2.08% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +4.30% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -4.64% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.93  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.98  corr +0.71  (52w)
    vs XLK  -2.99% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -2.05% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  +0.73% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  -0.24% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -17.80% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-17  (36 days)
    last reported 2026-08-26  (47 days ago)