mercatusdata

Rivian (RIVN): 20-day volatility 1.926% daily (1st percentile)

On 2026-10-13, Rivian (RIVN) closed at 13.37 USD, down 1.26% on the day. At the 2026-10-13 close, Rivian (RIVN) had an RSI(14) of 28.86, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 2021. At the 2026-10-13 close, Rivian (RIVN) traded at 9.5% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of -13.96% is in the 26th percentile of its history since 2021. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Rivian (RIVN) last entered the overbought zone 99 days ago (2026-07-06) and the oversold zone today (2026-10-13). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Rivian (RIVN) were 14.72 / 15.45 / 15.94 USD, with price -9.14% / -13.44% / -16.14% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 50-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 52-week range of Rivian (RIVN) was 12.39–22.69 USD; it closed 41.08% below the high (16.1× its typical daily range) and 7.91% above the low (1.7× its typical daily range). The high was set 295 days ago (2025-12-22) and the low 343 days ago (2025-11-04). It is 92.55% below its all-time high, set 1792 days ago (2021-11-16). Its 20-day volatility is 1.926% daily, in the 1st percentile of its history since 2021. Its daily realised volatility is 1.182% over 5 days, 1.926% over 20 days, 2.779% over 60 days and 3.981% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 18.8%, 30.6%, 44.1% and 63.2% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.58 USD, 4.36% of price. It has returned -7.86% (20th percentile since 2021) over 5 days, -10.69% (24th) over 10 days, -13.96% (26th) over 20 days, -22.45% (31st) over 60 days, -24.63% (29th) over 120 days and +4.45% (65th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.76 and a correlation of +0.16 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +1.04 and a correlation of +0.20. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -7.68% (5-day), -12.44% (10-day), -16.86% (20-day), -27.31% (60-day) and -14.67% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.26 over 52 weeks and -0.26 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-13.

=== RIVIAN (RIVN)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-13, prior 2026-10-12)
    close       13.37
    change      -0.17  (-1.256%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -0.02% · Nasdaq 100 -0.33% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-13)
    range       0.25
    close pos   12.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-13)
     20d MA     14.72   price below by -9.14%
     50d MA     15.45   price below by -13.44%
    200d MA     15.94   price below by -16.14%
    200d MA slope  -2.31% over 20 sessions (falling)
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
    20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-08-07   (67d ago)
    20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-08-14   (60d ago)
    50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-09-15   (28d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-13)
    20d stdev   1.926% daily ≈ 30.6% annualised (×√252)   (1st pct of own history, since 2021 (1215 obs))
      5d vol     1.182% daily ≈ 18.8% annualised (×√252)   (2nd pct of own history, since 2021 (1230 obs))
     60d vol     2.779% daily ≈ 44.1% annualised (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 2021 (1175 obs))
    120d vol     3.981% daily ≈ 63.2% annualised (×√252)   (11th pct of own history, since 2021 (1115 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.44× (1.926% vs 4.338% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-13)
    ATR(14)    0.58
    ATR%        4.36%   (3rd pct of own history, since 2021 (1221 obs))
    range/ATR   42.9%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-13)
    RVOL        0.63x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      20th pct of own history, since 2021 (1215 obs)
    avg vol 63d 23,494,385  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-13)
    high        22.69   (-41.08% from high)   [2025-12-22, 295d ago]
    low         12.39   (+7.91% from low)   [2025-11-04, 343d ago]
    drawdown    -92.55% from all-time high, 1792d ago (2021-11-16)
    max drawdown (4y history, close-basis) -95.12% (2021-11-16 172.01 -> 2024-04-15 8.40, 881d peak-to-trough); not yet recovered (911d and counting)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-13)
    RSI(14)     28.86   (3rd pct of own history, since 2021 (1221 obs))
    last overbought   99d ago (2026-07-06)
    last oversold   0d ago (2026-10-13)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-13)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -0.52 (below signal)   signal -0.40   hist -0.12
  returns          (as of 2026-10-13)
      5d return  -7.86%   from 14.51 on 2026-10-06   (20th pct of own history, since 2021 (1230 obs))
     10d return  -10.69%   from 14.97 on 2026-09-29   (24th pct of own history, since 2021 (1225 obs))
     20d return  -13.96%   from 15.54 on 2026-09-15   (26th pct of own history, since 2021 (1215 obs))
     60d return  -22.45%   from 17.24 on 2026-07-20   (31st pct of own history, since 2021 (1175 obs))
    120d return  -24.63%   from 17.74 on 2026-04-22   (29th pct of own history, since 2021 (1115 obs))
    252d return  +4.45%   from 12.80 on 2025-10-10   (65th pct of own history, since 2021 (983 obs))
    YTD return  -32.17%   from 19.71 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         8.18%   (from 2021-11-10)
    tightening (2022–2023)   5.15%
    easing (2024– )          4.34%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-09)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.26 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.26 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.04  corr +0.20  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.76  corr +0.16  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -7.68% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -12.44% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -16.86% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  -27.31% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -14.67% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +0.27  corr +0.10  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +0.46  corr +0.15  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -5.74% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -11.45% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -19.50% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -29.27% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -21.68% rel (252d return)
    vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary)  beta +0.98  corr +0.35  (26w)
    vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary)  beta +0.99  corr +0.32  (52w)
    vs XLY  -8.43% rel (5d return)
    vs XLY  -13.63% rel (10d return)
    vs XLY  -15.30% rel (20d return)
    vs XLY  -20.48% rel (60d return)
    vs XLY  +6.21% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-29  (16 days)