mercatusdata

Costco (COST): RSI(14) 72.12 (95th percentile)

On 2026-10-14, Costco (COST) closed at 982 USD, up 2.87% on the day. At the 2026-10-14 close, Costco (COST) had an RSI(14) of 72.12, in the 95th percentile of its history since 1986. Its 20-day return of +9.88% is in the 89th percentile of its history since 1986. At the 2026-10-14 close, Costco (COST) traded at 54.6% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. The RSI(14) of Costco (COST) last entered the overbought zone today (2026-10-14) and the oversold zone 296 days ago (2025-12-22). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Costco (COST) were 924.84 / 932.27 / 964.95 USD, with price +6.18% / +5.33% / +1.77% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 50-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 52-week range of Costco (COST) was 844.06–1096.5 USD; it closed 10.44% below the high (7.4× its typical daily range) and 16.34% above the low (8.9× its typical daily range). The high was set 148 days ago (2026-05-19) and the low 302 days ago (2025-12-16). At the 2026-10-14 close, Costco (COST) was 10.44% below its all-time intraday high of 1096.5 USD, set 148 days ago (2026-05-19). Its 20-day volatility is 1.060% daily, in the 24th percentile of its history since 1986. Its daily realised volatility is 1.331% over 5 days, 1.060% over 20 days, 1.136% over 60 days and 1.311% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 21.1%, 16.8%, 18.0% and 20.8% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 15.48 USD, 1.58% of price. It has returned +4.22% (87th percentile since 1986) over 5 days, +7.87% (92nd) over 10 days, +9.88% (89th) over 20 days, +5.68% (56th) over 60 days, -3.19% (25th) over 120 days and +4.96% (31st) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.01 and a correlation of +0.01 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -0.42 and a correlation of -0.23. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +5.28% (5-day), +6.99% (10-day), +7.66% (20-day), +2.89% (60-day) and -11.03% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.08 over 52 weeks and +0.30 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-12-10.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-14.

=== COSTCO (COST)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-14, prior 2026-10-13)
    close       982.00
    change      +27.37  (+2.867%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -1.11% · Nasdaq 100 -1.97% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-14)
    range       22.64
    close pos   97.2% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-14)
     20d MA     924.84   price above by +6.18%
     50d MA     932.27   price above by +5.33%
    200d MA     964.95   price above by +1.77%
    200d MA slope  +0.45% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
    20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-09-10   (34d ago)
    20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-07-09   (97d ago)
    50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-08-03   (72d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-14)
    20d stdev   1.060% daily ≈ 16.8% annualised (×√252)   (24th pct of own history, since 1986 (10125 obs))
      5d vol     1.331% daily ≈ 21.1% annualised (×√252)   (49th pct of own history, since 1986 (10140 obs))
     60d vol     1.136% daily ≈ 18.0% annualised (×√252)   (24th pct of own history, since 1986 (10085 obs))
    120d vol     1.311% daily ≈ 20.8% annualised (×√252)   (37th pct of own history, since 1986 (10025 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.83× (1.060% vs 1.281% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-14)
    ATR(14)    15.48
    ATR%        1.58%   (21st pct of own history, since 1986 (10131 obs))
    range/ATR   146.3%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-14)
    RVOL        1.33x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      83rd pct of own history, since 1986 (10125 obs)
    avg vol 63d 2,037,987  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-14)
    high        1096.50   (-10.44% from high)   [2026-05-19, 148d ago]
    low         844.06   (+16.34% from low)   [2025-12-16, 302d ago]
    drawdown    -10.44% from all-time intraday high, 148d ago (2026-05-19)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -31.51% (2022-04-07 608.05 -> 2022-05-20 416.43, 43d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-12-07 (566d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-14)
    RSI(14)     72.12   (95th pct of own history, since 1986 (10131 obs))
    last overbought   0d ago (2026-10-14)
    last oversold   296d ago (2025-12-22)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-14)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +10.65 (above signal)   signal +3.47   hist +7.18
  returns          (as of 2026-10-14)
      5d return  +4.22%   from 942.25 on 2026-10-07   (87th pct of own history, since 1986 (10140 obs))
     10d return  +7.87%   from 910.34 on 2026-09-30   (92nd pct of own history, since 1986 (10135 obs))
     20d return  +9.88%   from 893.74 on 2026-09-16   (89th pct of own history, since 1986 (10125 obs))
     60d return  +5.68%   from 929.22 on 2026-07-21   (56th pct of own history, since 1986 (10085 obs))
    120d return  -3.19%   from 1014.38 on 2026-04-23   (25th pct of own history, since 1986 (10025 obs))
    252d return  +4.96%   from 935.56 on 2025-10-13   (31st pct of own history, since 1986 (9893 obs))
    YTD return  +13.88%   from 862.34 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 2.33%   (from 1986-07-09)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         1.23%
    tightening (2015–2018)   1.26%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         1.39%
    tightening (2022–2023)   1.64%
    easing (2024– )          1.28%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.30 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.08 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs S&P 500  beta -0.42  corr -0.23  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.01  corr +0.01  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +5.28% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  +6.99% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +7.66% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +2.89% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -11.03% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.30  corr -0.31  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.11  corr -0.10  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +8.02% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +9.33% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +6.44% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +2.86% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -16.12% rel (252d return)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +1.07  corr +0.69  (26w)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +0.97  corr +0.67  (52w)
    vs XLP  -1.12% rel (5d return)
    vs XLP  +1.10% rel (10d return)
    vs XLP  +6.60% rel (20d return)
    vs XLP  +3.30% rel (60d return)
    vs XLP  -5.60% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-12-10  (57 days)
    last reported 2026-09-24  (20 days ago)