mercatusdata

Palantir (PLTR): 20-day volatility 1.948% daily (1st percentile)

On 2026-10-15, Palantir (PLTR) closed at 200.5 USD, down 0.23% on the day. At the 2026-10-15 close, Palantir (PLTR) traded at 88.3% of its 52-week range. At the 2026-10-15 close, Palantir (PLTR) had an RSI(14) of 62.58, in the 76th percentile of its history since 2020. Its 20-day return of +13.77% is in the 72nd percentile of its history since 2020. The RSI(14) of Palantir (PLTR) last entered the overbought zone 6 days ago (2026-10-09) and the oversold zone 112 days ago (2026-06-25). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-15 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Palantir (PLTR) were 193.13 / 181.97 / 152.62 USD, with price +3.82% / +10.19% / +31.37% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-15 close, the 52-week range of Palantir (PLTR) was 106.37–212.94 USD; it closed 5.84% below the high (1.8× its typical daily range) and 88.49% above the low (13.7× its typical daily range). The high was set 3 days ago (2026-10-12) and the low 112 days ago (2026-06-25). At the 2026-10-15 close, Palantir (PLTR) was 5.84% below its all-time intraday high of 212.94 USD, set 3 days ago (2026-10-12). Its 20-day volatility is 1.948% daily, in the 1st percentile of its history since 2020. Its daily realised volatility is 3.169% over 5 days, 1.948% over 20 days, 4.792% over 60 days and 4.185% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 50.3%, 30.9%, 76.1% and 66.4% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 6.88 USD, 3.43% of price. It has returned +0.87% (49th percentile since 2020) over 5 days, +5.50% (63rd) over 10 days, +13.77% (72nd) over 20 days, +60.95% (88th) over 60 days, +40.12% (62nd) over 120 days and +11.55% (36th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +2.68 and a correlation of +0.48 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +5.15 and a correlation of +0.68. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +1.14% (5-day), +4.49% (10-day), +12.37% (20-day), +57.69% (60-day) and -5.00% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.14 over 52 weeks and -0.33 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-02.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-15.

=== PALANTIR (PLTR)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-15, prior 2026-10-14)
    close       200.50
    change      -0.47  (-0.234%)
    vs market   S&P 500 +0.33% · Nasdaq 100 -0.13% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-15)
    range       8.31
    close pos   95.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-15)
     20d MA     193.13   price above by +3.82%
     50d MA     181.97   price above by +10.19%
    200d MA     152.62   price above by +31.37%
    200d MA slope  +0.61% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-05   (71d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-08-19   (57d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-09-09   (36d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-15)
    20d stdev   1.948% daily ≈ 30.9% annualised (×√252)   (1st pct of own history, since 2020 (1498 obs))
      5d vol     3.169% daily ≈ 50.3% annualised (×√252)   (51st pct of own history, since 2020 (1513 obs))
     60d vol     4.792% daily ≈ 76.1% annualised (×√252)   (72nd pct of own history, since 2020 (1458 obs))
    120d vol     4.185% daily ≈ 66.4% annualised (×√252)   (50th pct of own history, since 2020 (1398 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.48× (1.948% vs 4.084% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-15)
    ATR(14)    6.88
    ATR%        3.43%   (2nd pct of own history, since 2020 (1504 obs))
    range/ATR   120.7%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-15)
    RVOL        1.06x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      70th pct of own history, since 2020 (1498 obs)
    avg vol 63d 32,715,426  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-15)
    high        212.94   (-5.84% from high)   [2026-10-12, 3d ago]
    low         106.37   (+88.49% from low)   [2026-06-25, 112d ago]
    drawdown    -5.84% from all-time intraday high, 3d ago (2026-10-12)
    max drawdown (6y history, close-basis) -84.62% (2021-01-27 39.00 -> 2022-12-27 6.00, 699d peak-to-trough); recovered 2024-10-03 (646d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-15)
    RSI(14)     62.58   (76th pct of own history, since 2020 (1504 obs))
    last overbought   6d ago (2026-10-09)
    last oversold   112d ago (2026-06-25)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-15)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +7.66 (above signal)   signal +7.14   hist +0.52
  returns          (as of 2026-10-15)
      5d return  +0.87%   from 198.78 on 2026-10-08   (49th pct of own history, since 2020 (1513 obs))
     10d return  +5.50%   from 190.04 on 2026-10-01   (63rd pct of own history, since 2020 (1508 obs))
     20d return  +13.77%   from 176.24 on 2026-09-17   (72nd pct of own history, since 2020 (1498 obs))
     60d return  +60.95%   from 124.57 on 2026-07-22   (88th pct of own history, since 2020 (1458 obs))
    120d return  +40.12%   from 143.09 on 2026-04-24   (62nd pct of own history, since 2020 (1398 obs))
    252d return  +11.55%   from 179.74 on 2025-10-14   (36th pct of own history, since 2020 (1266 obs))
    YTD return  +12.80%   from 177.75 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         4.89%   (from 2020-09-30)
    tightening (2022–2023)   4.49%
    easing (2024– )          4.08%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.33 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.14 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-15)
    vs S&P 500  beta +5.15  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.68  corr +0.48  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +1.14% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  +4.49% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +12.37% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +57.69% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -5.00% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.95  corr +0.50  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.77  corr +0.49  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +3.48% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +7.39% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +12.22% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +57.74% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -10.19% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +1.25  corr +0.44  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +1.33  corr +0.48  (52w)
    vs XLK  +5.21% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  +9.86% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  +13.16% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  +56.01% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -22.86% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-02  (18 days)
    last reported 2026-08-03  (73 days ago)