Caterpillar (CAT): RSI(14) 30.67 (5th percentile)
On 2026-10-16, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 730.76 USD, down 0.66% on the day. At the 2026-10-16 close, Caterpillar (CAT) had an RSI(14) of 30.67, in the 5th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of -9.67% is in the 8th percentile of its history since 1962. At the 2026-10-16 close, Caterpillar (CAT) traded at 39.2% of its 52-week range. The RSI(14) of Caterpillar (CAT) last entered the overbought zone 158 days ago (2026-05-11) and the oversold zone 79 days ago (2026-07-29). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Caterpillar (CAT) were 805.11 / 812.76 / 805.74 USD, with price -9.23% / -10.09% / -9.31% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 50-day, 200-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Caterpillar (CAT) was 510.21–1073.46 USD; it closed 31.92% below the high (12.5× its typical daily range) and 43.23% above the low (8.0× its typical daily range). The high was set 108 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 359 days ago (2025-10-22). At the 2026-10-16 close, Caterpillar (CAT) was 31.92% below its all-time intraday high of 1073.46 USD, set 108 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.067% daily, in the 75th percentile of its history since 1962. Its daily realised volatility is 1.416% over 5 days, 2.067% over 20 days, 2.234% over 60 days and 2.686% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 22.5%, 32.8%, 35.5% and 42.6% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 27.44 USD, 3.75% of price. It has returned -8.71% (2nd percentile since 1962) over 5 days, -13.56% (1st) over 10 days, -9.67% (8th) over 20 days, -18.31% (5th) over 60 days, -11.83% (18th) over 120 days and +36.83% (79th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.74 and a correlation of +0.27 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.62 and a correlation of +0.21. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -6.76% (5-day), -12.74% (10-day), -9.79% (20-day), -21.70% (60-day) and +22.02% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.02 over 52 weeks and +0.21 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-16.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
close 730.76
change -4.88 (-0.663%)
vs market S&P 500 -1.09% · Nasdaq 100 -2.50% (same day)
listing Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-10-16)
range 14.29
close pos 14.5% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-16)
20d MA 805.11 price below by -9.23%
50d MA 812.76 price below by -10.09%
200d MA 805.74 price below by -9.31%
200d MA slope +2.76% over 20 sessions (rising)
price < all MAs
stack: 50d > 200d > 20d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-07-28 (80d ago)
20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-10-16 (0d ago)
50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-07-16 (457d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-10-16)
20d stdev 2.067% daily ≈ 32.8% annualised (×√252) (75th pct of own history, since 1962 (16286 obs))
5d vol 1.416% daily ≈ 22.5% annualised (×√252) (51st pct of own history, since 1962 (16301 obs))
60d vol 2.234% daily ≈ 35.5% annualised (×√252) (83rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16246 obs))
120d vol 2.686% daily ≈ 42.6% annualised (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16186 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 1.00× (2.067% vs 2.073% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-16)
ATR(14) 27.44
ATR% 3.75% (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16292 obs))
range/ATR 52.1%
relative volume (as of 2026-10-16)
RVOL 1.10x (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
pctile 68th pct of own history, since 1962 (16286 obs)
avg vol 63d 2,674,255 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-10-16)
high 1073.46 (-31.92% from high) [2026-06-30, 108d ago]
low 510.21 (+43.23% from low) [2025-10-22, 359d ago]
drawdown -31.92% from all-time intraday high, 108d ago (2026-06-30)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -46.25% (2018-01-22 170.89 -> 2020-03-23 91.85, 791d peak-to-trough); recovered 2020-11-10 (232d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-10-16)
RSI(14) 30.67 (5th pct of own history, since 1962 (16292 obs))
last overbought 158d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 79d ago (2026-07-29)
MACD (as of 2026-10-16)
MACD(12,26,9) -17.70 (below signal) signal -7.60 hist -10.10
returns (as of 2026-10-16)
5d return -8.71% from 800.47 on 2026-10-09 (2nd pct of own history, since 1962 (16301 obs))
10d return -13.56% from 845.42 on 2026-10-02 (1st pct of own history, since 1962 (16296 obs))
20d return -9.67% from 808.99 on 2026-09-18 (8th pct of own history, since 1962 (16286 obs))
60d return -18.31% from 894.54 on 2026-07-23 (5th pct of own history, since 1962 (16246 obs))
120d return -11.83% from 828.79 on 2026-04-27 (18th pct of own history, since 1962 (16186 obs))
252d return +36.83% from 534.05 on 2025-10-15 (79th pct of own history, since 1962 (16054 obs))
YTD return +27.56% from 572.87 on 2025-12-31
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (to 2008) 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 2.02%
tightening (2015–2018) 1.72%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 2.11%
tightening (2022–2023) 1.96%
easing (2024– ) 2.07%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-15)
vs real yield (Δ) +0.21 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.02 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-10-16)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.62 corr +0.21 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.74 corr +0.27 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -6.76% rel (5d return)
vs S&P 500 -12.74% rel (10d return)
vs S&P 500 -9.79% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -21.70% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +22.02% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.65 corr +0.43 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.56 corr +0.33 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -3.19% rel (5d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -8.26% rel (10d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -8.06% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -20.89% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +18.97% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.56 corr +0.54 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.48 corr +0.62 (52w)
vs XLI -7.83% rel (5d return)
vs XLI -12.27% rel (10d return)
vs XLI -8.50% rel (20d return)
vs XLI -10.52% rel (60d return)
vs XLI +26.90% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (13 days)
last reported 2026-08-04 (73 days ago)