mercatusdata

Intel (INTC): 20-day return -17.27% (4th percentile)

On 2026-10-16, Intel (INTC) closed at 89.85 USD, down 5.79% on the day. At the 2026-10-16 close, Intel (INTC) had an RSI(14) of 31.41, in the 4th percentile of its history since 1980. Its 20-day return of -17.27% is in the 4th percentile of its history since 1980. At the 2026-10-16 close, Intel (INTC) traded at 52.0% of its 52-week range. The RSI(14) of Intel (INTC) last entered the overbought zone 25 days ago (2026-09-21) and the oversold zone 441 days ago (2025-08-01). It is trading above its 200-day but below its 20- and 50-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Intel (INTC) were 112.56 / 103.17 / 84.56 USD, with price -20.18% / -12.91% / +6.26% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Intel (INTC) was 32.89–142.35 USD; it closed 36.88% below the high (9.0× its typical daily range) and 173.18% above the low (9.7× its typical daily range). The high was set 108 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 329 days ago (2025-11-21). At the 2026-10-16 close, Intel (INTC) was 36.88% below its all-time intraday high of 142.35 USD, set 108 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 4.199% daily, in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1980. Its daily realised volatility is 2.739% over 5 days, 4.199% over 20 days, 4.370% over 60 days and 5.098% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 43.5%, 66.7%, 69.4% and 80.9% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.85 USD, 6.51% of price. It has returned -14.18% (1st percentile since 1980) over 5 days, -24.70% (bottom 1%) over 10 days, -17.27% (4th) over 20 days, -10.36% (21st) over 60 days, +5.72% (50th) over 120 days and +141.86% (97th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +3.67 and a correlation of +0.57 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +4.59 and a correlation of +0.52. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -12.24% (5-day), -23.89% (10-day), -17.38% (20-day), -13.75% (60-day) and +127.04% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.17 over 52 weeks and -0.05 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-16.

=== INTEL (INTC)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
    close       89.85
    change      -5.52  (-5.788%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -1.09% · Nasdaq 100 -2.50% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-16)
    range       5.03
    close pos   13.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-16)
     20d MA     112.56   price below by -20.18%
     50d MA     103.17   price below by -12.91%
    200d MA     84.56   price above by +6.26%
    200d MA slope  +9.59% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-09-21   (25d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-08-22   (420d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-08-15   (427d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-16)
    20d stdev   4.199% daily ≈ 66.7% annualised (×√252)   (92nd pct of own history, since 1980 (11264 obs))
      5d vol     2.739% daily ≈ 43.5% annualised (×√252)   (73rd pct of own history, since 1980 (11279 obs))
     60d vol     4.370% daily ≈ 69.4% annualised (×√252)   (92nd pct of own history, since 1980 (11224 obs))
    120d vol     5.098% daily ≈ 80.9% annualised (×√252)   (98th pct of own history, since 1980 (11164 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.01× (4.199% vs 4.170% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-16)
    ATR(14)    5.85
    ATR%        6.51%   (96th pct of own history, since 1980 (11270 obs))
    range/ATR   86.0%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-16)
    RVOL        1.14x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      72nd pct of own history, since 1980 (11264 obs)
    avg vol 63d 107,248,985  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-16)
    high        142.35   (-36.88% from high)   [2026-06-30, 108d ago]
    low         32.89   (+173.18% from low)   [2025-11-21, 329d ago]
    drawdown    -36.88% from all-time intraday high, 108d ago (2026-06-30)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -73.52% (2020-01-24 68.47 -> 2025-04-08 18.13, 1901d peak-to-trough); recovered 2026-04-16 (373d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-16)
    RSI(14)     31.41   (4th pct of own history, since 1980 (11270 obs))
    last overbought   25d ago (2026-09-21)
    last oversold   441d ago (2025-08-01)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-16)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -2.64 (below signal)   signal +0.75   hist -3.39
  returns          (as of 2026-10-16)
      5d return  -14.18%   from 104.70 on 2026-10-09   (1st pct of own history, since 1980 (11279 obs))
     10d return  -24.70%   from 119.33 on 2026-10-02   (0th pct of own history, since 1980 (11274 obs))
     20d return  -17.27%   from 108.60 on 2026-09-18   (4th pct of own history, since 1980 (11264 obs))
     60d return  -10.36%   from 100.23 on 2026-07-23   (21st pct of own history, since 1980 (11224 obs))
    120d return  +5.72%   from 84.99 on 2026-04-27   (50th pct of own history, since 1980 (11164 obs))
    252d return  +141.86%   from 37.15 on 2025-10-15   (97th pct of own history, since 1980 (11032 obs))
    YTD return  +143.50%   from 36.90 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     2.87%   (from 1980-03-18)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         1.64%
    tightening (2015–2018)   1.60%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         2.46%
    tightening (2022–2023)   2.43%
    easing (2024– )          4.17%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-15)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.05 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.17 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-16)
    vs S&P 500  beta +4.59  corr +0.52  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +3.67  corr +0.57  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -12.24% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -23.89% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -17.38% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  -13.75% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +127.04% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +3.12  corr +0.70  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +2.73  corr +0.68  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -8.66% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -19.40% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -15.65% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -12.93% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +123.99% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +2.18  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +1.99  corr +0.65  (52w)
    vs XLK  -6.48% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -16.53% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  -14.03% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  -13.17% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  +112.79% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-29  (13 days)
    last reported 2026-07-23  (85 days ago)