Rivian (RIVN): RSI(14) 23.09 (1st percentile)
On 2026-10-16, Rivian (RIVN) closed at 12.42 USD, down 4.61% on the day. At the 2026-10-16 close, Rivian (RIVN) traded at 0.6% of its 52-week range. At the 2026-10-16 close, Rivian (RIVN) had an RSI(14) of 23.09, in the 1st percentile of its history since 2021. Its 20-day return of -17.14% is in the 22nd percentile of its history since 2021. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Rivian (RIVN) last entered the overbought zone 102 days ago (2026-07-06) and the oversold zone 3 days ago (2026-10-13). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Rivian (RIVN) were 14.35 / 15.28 / 15.83 USD, with price -13.47% / -18.71% / -21.53% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 50-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Rivian (RIVN) was 12.36–22.69 USD; it closed 45.26% below the high (17.1× its typical daily range) and 0.49% above the low (0.1× its typical daily range). The high was set 298 days ago (2025-12-22) and the low today (2026-10-16). At the 2026-10-16 close, Rivian (RIVN) was 93.08% below its all-time intraday high of 179.47 USD, set 1795 days ago (2021-11-16). Its 20-day volatility is 2.096% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 2021. Its daily realised volatility is 1.981% over 5 days, 2.096% over 20 days, 2.754% over 60 days and 3.984% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 31.4%, 33.3%, 43.7% and 63.2% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.6 USD, 4.84% of price. It has returned -11.03% (12th percentile since 2021) over 5 days, -13.15% (19th) over 10 days, -17.14% (22nd) over 20 days, -24.54% (28th) over 60 days, -25.72% (29th) over 120 days and -7.38% (60th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.91 and a correlation of +0.19 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +1.37 and a correlation of +0.27. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -9.08% (5-day), -12.33% (10-day), -17.26% (20-day), -27.93% (60-day) and -22.20% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.21 over 52 weeks and -0.10 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-16.
=== RIVIAN (RIVN) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
close 12.42
change -0.60 (-4.608%)
vs market S&P 500 -1.09% · Nasdaq 100 -2.50% (same day)
listing Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-10-16)
range 0.83
close pos 7.2% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-16)
20d MA 14.35 price below by -13.47%
50d MA 15.28 price below by -18.71%
200d MA 15.83 price below by -21.53%
200d MA slope -2.87% over 20 sessions (falling)
price < all MAs
stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-08-07 (70d ago)
20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-08-14 (63d ago)
50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-09-15 (31d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-10-16)
20d stdev 2.096% daily ≈ 33.3% annualised (×√252) (2nd pct of own history, since 2021 (1218 obs))
5d vol 1.981% daily ≈ 31.4% annualised (×√252) (15th pct of own history, since 2021 (1233 obs))
60d vol 2.754% daily ≈ 43.7% annualised (×√252) (4th pct of own history, since 2021 (1178 obs))
120d vol 3.984% daily ≈ 63.3% annualised (×√252) (12th pct of own history, since 2021 (1118 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.48× (2.096% vs 4.334% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-16)
ATR(14) 0.60
ATR% 4.84% (11th pct of own history, since 2021 (1224 obs))
range/ATR 138.2%
relative volume (as of 2026-10-16)
RVOL 1.02x (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
pctile 65th pct of own history, since 2021 (1218 obs)
avg vol 63d 23,297,403 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-10-16)
high 22.69 (-45.26% from high) [2025-12-22, 298d ago]
low 12.36 (+0.49% from low) [2026-10-16, 0d ago]
drawdown -93.08% from all-time intraday high, 1795d ago (2021-11-16)
max drawdown (4y history, close-basis) -95.12% (2021-11-16 172.01 -> 2024-04-15 8.40, 881d peak-to-trough); not yet recovered (914d and counting)
momentum (as of 2026-10-16)
RSI(14) 23.09 (1st pct of own history, since 2021 (1224 obs))
last overbought 102d ago (2026-07-06)
last oversold 3d ago (2026-10-13)
MACD (as of 2026-10-16)
MACD(12,26,9) -0.70 (below signal) signal -0.52 hist -0.18
returns (as of 2026-10-16)
5d return -11.03% from 13.96 on 2026-10-09 (12th pct of own history, since 2021 (1233 obs))
10d return -13.15% from 14.30 on 2026-10-02 (19th pct of own history, since 2021 (1228 obs))
20d return -17.14% from 14.99 on 2026-09-18 (22nd pct of own history, since 2021 (1218 obs))
60d return -24.54% from 16.46 on 2026-07-23 (28th pct of own history, since 2021 (1178 obs))
120d return -25.72% from 16.72 on 2026-04-27 (29th pct of own history, since 2021 (1118 obs))
252d return -7.38% from 13.41 on 2025-10-15 (60th pct of own history, since 2021 (986 obs))
YTD return -36.99% from 19.71 on 2025-12-31
volatility by rate-era
ZIRP (2019–2021) 8.18% (from 2021-11-10)
tightening (2022–2023) 5.15%
easing (2024– ) 4.33%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-15)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.10 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.21 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-10-16)
vs S&P 500 beta +1.37 corr +0.27 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.91 corr +0.19 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -9.08% rel (5d return)
vs S&P 500 -12.33% rel (10d return)
vs S&P 500 -17.26% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -27.93% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 -22.20% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.51 corr +0.20 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.58 corr +0.19 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -5.51% rel (5d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -7.84% rel (10d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -15.53% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -27.12% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -25.25% rel (252d return)
vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary) beta +0.98 corr +0.34 (26w)
vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary) beta +0.99 corr +0.32 (52w)
vs XLY -10.69% rel (5d return)
vs XLY -15.35% rel (10d return)
vs XLY -18.43% rel (20d return)
vs XLY -27.95% rel (60d return)
vs XLY -3.22% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (13 days)