mercatusdata

Walmart (WMT): RSI(14) 72.97 (96th percentile)

On 2026-10-16, Walmart (WMT) closed at 118.81 USD, up 0.80% on the day. At the 2026-10-16 close, Walmart (WMT) had an RSI(14) of 72.97, in the 96th percentile of its history since 1973. Its 20-day return of +11.32% is in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1973. At the 2026-10-16 close, Walmart (WMT) traded at 54.9% of its 52-week range. RSI above 70 is conventionally termed overbought. The RSI(14) of Walmart (WMT) last entered the overbought zone 1 day ago (2026-10-15) and the oversold zone 57 days ago (2026-08-20). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Walmart (WMT) were 109.61 / 108.91 / 118.27 USD, with price +8.39% / +9.09% / +0.46% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 20-day and 50-day. At the 2026-10-16 close, the 52-week range of Walmart (WMT) was 98.88–135.16 USD; it closed 12.10% below the high (6.7× its typical daily range) and 20.16% above the low (8.1× its typical daily range). The high was set 150 days ago (2026-05-19) and the low 336 days ago (2025-11-14). At the 2026-10-16 close, Walmart (WMT) was 12.10% below its all-time intraday high of 135.16 USD, set 150 days ago (2026-05-19). Its 20-day volatility is 1.583% daily, in the 59th percentile of its history since 1973. Its daily realised volatility is 1.502% over 5 days, 1.583% over 20 days, 1.800% over 60 days and 1.763% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 23.8%, 25.1%, 28.6% and 28.0% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 2.45 USD, 2.06% of price. It has returned +6.70% (95th percentile since 1973) over 5 days, +13.96% (98th) over 10 days, +11.32% (92nd) over 20 days, +9.60% (71st) over 60 days, -6.88% (15th) over 120 days and +8.97% (46th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.01 and a correlation of +0.00 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -0.05 and a correlation of -0.02. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +8.65% (5-day), +14.77% (10-day), +11.20% (20-day), +6.21% (60-day) and -5.85% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.23 over 52 weeks and -0.15 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-19.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-16.

=== WALMART (WMT)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-16, prior 2026-10-15)
    close       118.81
    change      +0.94  (+0.797%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -1.09% · Nasdaq 100 -2.50% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-16)
    range       1.41
    close pos   52.5% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-16)
     20d MA     109.61   price above by +8.39%
     50d MA     108.91   price above by +9.09%
    200d MA     118.27   price above by +0.46%
    200d MA slope  -0.37% over 20 sessions (falling)
    price > all MAs
    stack: 200d > 20d > 50d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-10-15   (1d ago)
    20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-07-07   (101d ago)
    50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-07-24   (84d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-16)
    20d stdev   1.583% daily ≈ 25.1% annualised (×√252)   (59th pct of own history, since 1973 (11072 obs))
      5d vol     1.502% daily ≈ 23.8% annualised (×√252)   (62nd pct of own history, since 1973 (11087 obs))
     60d vol     1.800% daily ≈ 28.6% annualised (×√252)   (69th pct of own history, since 1973 (11032 obs))
    120d vol     1.763% daily ≈ 28.0% annualised (×√252)   (65th pct of own history, since 1973 (10972 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  1.07× (1.583% vs 1.473% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-16)
    ATR(14)    2.45
    ATR%        2.06%   (49th pct of own history, since 1973 (11078 obs))
    range/ATR   57.5%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-16)
    RVOL        0.90x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      48th pct of own history, since 1973 (11072 obs)
    avg vol 63d 23,967,434  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-16)
    high        135.16   (-12.10% from high)   [2026-05-19, 150d ago]
    low         98.88   (+20.16% from low)   [2025-11-14, 336d ago]
    drawdown    -12.10% from all-time intraday high, 150d ago (2026-05-19)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -26.01% (2022-04-21 53.29 -> 2022-06-17 39.43, 57d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-07-28 (406d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-16)
    RSI(14)     72.97   (96th pct of own history, since 1973 (11078 obs))
    last overbought   1d ago (2026-10-15)
    last oversold   57d ago (2026-08-20)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-16)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +2.25 (above signal)   signal +0.90   hist +1.36
  returns          (as of 2026-10-16)
      5d return  +6.70%   from 111.35 on 2026-10-09   (95th pct of own history, since 1973 (11087 obs))
     10d return  +13.96%   from 104.26 on 2026-10-02   (98th pct of own history, since 1973 (11082 obs))
     20d return  +11.32%   from 106.73 on 2026-09-18   (92nd pct of own history, since 1973 (11072 obs))
     60d return  +9.60%   from 108.40 on 2026-07-23   (71st pct of own history, since 1973 (11032 obs))
    120d return  -6.88%   from 127.59 on 2026-04-27   (15th pct of own history, since 1973 (10972 obs))
    252d return  +8.97%   from 109.03 on 2025-10-15   (46th pct of own history, since 1973 (10840 obs))
    YTD return  +6.64%   from 111.41 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     4.62%   (from 1973-03-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         1.06%
    tightening (2015–2018)   1.30%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         1.40%
    tightening (2022–2023)   1.38%
    easing (2024– )          1.47%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-15)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.23 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-16)
    vs S&P 500  beta -0.05  corr -0.02  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.01  corr +0.00  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  +8.65% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  +14.77% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +11.20% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +6.21% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -5.85% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.12  corr -0.09  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta -0.14  corr -0.10  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +12.22% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +19.26% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +12.93% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +7.03% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -8.89% rel (252d return)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +1.20  corr +0.55  (26w)
    vs XLP (Consumer Staples)  beta +1.30  corr +0.67  (52w)
    vs XLP  +1.68% rel (5d return)
    vs XLP  +5.15% rel (10d return)
    vs XLP  +5.50% rel (20d return)
    vs XLP  +4.30% rel (60d return)
    vs XLP  -1.62% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-19  (34 days)
    last reported 2026-08-20  (57 days ago)