mercatusdata

NVIDIA (NVDA): 20-day volatility 1.492% daily (3rd percentile)

On 2026-10-19, NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at 217.09 USD, up 1.38% on the day. At the 2026-10-19 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an RSI(14) of 41.49, in the 18th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 20-day return of -4.53% is in the 28th percentile of its history since 1999. At the 2026-10-19 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at 66.8% of its 52-week range. The RSI(14) of NVIDIA (NVDA) last entered the overbought zone 159 days ago (2026-05-13) and the oversold zone 563 days ago (2025-04-04). It is trading above its 200-day but below its 20- and 50-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NVIDIA (NVDA) were 227.66 / 222.94 / 203.12 USD, with price -4.64% / -2.62% / +6.88% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 52-week range of NVIDIA (NVDA) was 164.27–243.37 USD; it closed 10.80% below the high (4.4× its typical daily range) and 32.15% above the low (8.9× its typical daily range). The high was set 13 days ago (2026-10-06) and the low 203 days ago (2026-03-30). At the 2026-10-19 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) was 10.80% below its all-time intraday high of 243.37 USD, set 13 days ago (2026-10-06). Its 20-day volatility is 1.492% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1999. Its daily realised volatility is 1.933% over 5 days, 1.492% over 20 days, 2.333% over 60 days and 2.449% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 30.7%, 23.7%, 37.0% and 38.9% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.93 USD, 2.73% of price. It has returned -4.08% (23rd percentile since 1999) over 5 days, -9.13% (14th) over 10 days, -4.53% (28th) over 20 days, +4.96% (41st) over 60 days, +1.84% (29th) over 120 days and +19.40% (35th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.73 and a correlation of +0.62 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +2.26 and a correlation of +0.65. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -2.59% (5-day), -8.06% (10-day), -3.57% (20-day), +1.19% (60-day) and +3.39% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is +0.07 over 52 weeks and +0.15 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-17.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-19.

=== NVIDIA (NVDA)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-19, prior 2026-10-16)
    close       217.09
    change      +2.96  (+1.382%)
    vs market   S&P 500 +0.41% · Nasdaq 100 +1.21% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-19)
    range       4.92
    close pos   48.6% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-19)
     20d MA     227.66   price below by -4.64%
     50d MA     222.94   price below by -2.62%
    200d MA     203.12   price above by +6.88%
    200d MA slope  +2.27% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-06   (74d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-04-20   (182d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27   (479d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-19)
    20d stdev   1.492% daily ≈ 23.7% annualised (×√252)   (3rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6300 obs))
      5d vol     1.933% daily ≈ 30.7% annualised (×√252)   (27th pct of own history, since 1999 (6315 obs))
     60d vol     2.333% daily ≈ 37.0% annualised (×√252)   (21st pct of own history, since 1999 (6260 obs))
    120d vol     2.449% daily ≈ 38.9% annualised (×√252)   (20th pct of own history, since 1999 (6200 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.50× (1.492% vs 3.000% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-19)
    ATR(14)    5.93
    ATR%        2.73%   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6306 obs))
    range/ATR   82.9%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-19)
    RVOL        0.94x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      55th pct of own history, since 1999 (6300 obs)
    avg vol 63d 118,822,061  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-19)
    high        243.37   (-10.80% from high)   [2026-10-06, 13d ago]
    low         164.27   (+32.15% from low)   [2026-03-30, 203d ago]
    drawdown    -10.80% from all-time intraday high, 13d ago (2026-10-06)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -66.36% (2021-11-29 33.38 -> 2022-10-14 11.23, 319d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-05-25 (223d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-19)
    RSI(14)     41.49   (18th pct of own history, since 1999 (6306 obs))
    last overbought   159d ago (2026-05-13)
    last oversold   563d ago (2025-04-04)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-19)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -0.79 (below signal)   signal +1.59   hist -2.38
  returns          (as of 2026-10-19)
      5d return  -4.08%   from 226.32 on 2026-10-12   (23rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6315 obs))
     10d return  -9.13%   from 238.90 on 2026-10-05   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6310 obs))
     20d return  -4.53%   from 227.38 on 2026-09-21   (28th pct of own history, since 1999 (6300 obs))
     60d return  +4.96%   from 206.84 on 2026-07-24   (41st pct of own history, since 1999 (6260 obs))
    120d return  +1.84%   from 213.17 on 2026-04-28   (29th pct of own history, since 1999 (6200 obs))
    252d return  +19.40%   from 181.81 on 2025-10-16   (35th pct of own history, since 1999 (6068 obs))
    YTD return  +16.40%   from 186.50 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     6.46%   (from 1999-01-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.05%
    tightening (2015–2018)   2.87%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.05%
    tightening (2022–2023)   3.56%
    easing (2024– )          3.00%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-16)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.15 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.07 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-19)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.26  corr +0.65  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.73  corr +0.62  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -2.59% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -8.06% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -3.57% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +1.19% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +3.39% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.20  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.19  corr +0.69  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.37% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -4.13% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -1.41% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.03% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.32% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.91  corr +0.70  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.97  corr +0.73  (52w)
    vs XLK  +1.22% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -1.68% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  +0.04% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  -0.78% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -11.32% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-17  (29 days)
    last reported 2026-08-26  (54 days ago)