Caterpillar (CAT): RSI(14) 29.74 (4th percentile)
On 2026-10-20, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 725.24 USD, down 0.08% on the day. At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) had an RSI(14) of 29.74, in the 4th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of -10.24% is in the 7th percentile of its history since 1962. At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) traded at 38.2% of its 52-week range. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Caterpillar (CAT) last entered the overbought zone 162 days ago (2026-05-11) and the oversold zone 1 day ago (2026-10-19). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Caterpillar (CAT) were 796.43 / 808.18 / 807.14 USD, with price -8.94% / -10.26% / -10.15% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 50-day, 200-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of Caterpillar (CAT) was 510.21–1073.46 USD; it closed 32.44% below the high (12.9× its typical daily range) and 42.15% above the low (8.0× its typical daily range). The high was set 112 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 363 days ago (2025-10-22). At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) was 32.44% below its all-time intraday high of 1073.46 USD, set 112 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.040% daily, in the 74th percentile of its history since 1962. Its daily realised volatility is 1.191% over 5 days, 2.040% over 20 days, 2.226% over 60 days and 2.683% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 18.9%, 32.4%, 35.3% and 42.6% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 26.92 USD, 3.71% of price. It has returned -6.15% (6th percentile since 1962) over 5 days, -16.01% (1st) over 10 days, -10.24% (7th) over 20 days, -16.95% (6th) over 60 days, -10.47% (20th) over 120 days and +37.60% (79th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.76 and a correlation of +0.28 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.59 and a correlation of +0.20. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -4.96% (5-day), -14.65% (10-day), -9.57% (20-day), -20.99% (60-day) and +21.86% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is +0.01 over 52 weeks and +0.28 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-20, prior 2026-10-19)
close 725.24
change -0.55 (-0.076%)
vs market S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10% (same day)
listing Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-10-20)
range 25.63
close pos 64.3% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-20)
20d MA 796.43 price below by -8.94%
50d MA 808.18 price below by -10.26%
200d MA 807.14 price below by -10.15%
200d MA slope +2.64% over 20 sessions (rising)
price < all MAs
stack: 50d > 200d > 20d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-07-28 (84d ago)
20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-10-16 (4d ago)
50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-07-16 (461d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-10-20)
20d stdev 2.040% daily ≈ 32.4% annualised (×√252) (74th pct of own history, since 1962 (16288 obs))
5d vol 1.191% daily ≈ 18.9% annualised (×√252) (39th pct of own history, since 1962 (16303 obs))
60d vol 2.226% daily ≈ 35.3% annualised (×√252) (83rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16248 obs))
120d vol 2.683% daily ≈ 42.6% annualised (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16188 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.99× (2.040% vs 2.071% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-20)
ATR(14) 26.92
ATR% 3.71% (93rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16294 obs))
range/ATR 95.2%
relative volume (as of 2026-10-20)
RVOL 1.04x (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
pctile 64th pct of own history, since 1962 (16288 obs)
avg vol 63d 2,675,820 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-10-20)
high 1073.46 (-32.44% from high) [2026-06-30, 112d ago]
low 510.21 (+42.15% from low) [2025-10-22, 363d ago]
drawdown -32.44% from all-time intraday high, 112d ago (2026-06-30)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -46.25% (2018-01-22 170.89 -> 2020-03-23 91.85, 791d peak-to-trough); recovered 2020-11-10 (232d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-10-20)
RSI(14) 29.74 (4th pct of own history, since 1962 (16294 obs))
last overbought 162d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 1d ago (2026-10-19)
MACD (as of 2026-10-20)
MACD(12,26,9) -23.03 (below signal) signal -12.80 hist -10.23
returns (as of 2026-10-20)
5d return -6.15% from 772.78 on 2026-10-13 (6th pct of own history, since 1962 (16303 obs))
10d return -16.01% from 863.44 on 2026-10-06 (1st pct of own history, since 1962 (16298 obs))
20d return -10.24% from 808.01 on 2026-09-22 (7th pct of own history, since 1962 (16288 obs))
60d return -16.95% from 873.28 on 2026-07-27 (6th pct of own history, since 1962 (16248 obs))
120d return -10.47% from 810.05 on 2026-04-29 (20th pct of own history, since 1962 (16188 obs))
252d return +37.60% from 527.08 on 2025-10-17 (79th pct of own history, since 1962 (16056 obs))
YTD return +26.60% from 572.87 on 2025-12-31
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (to 2008) 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 2.02%
tightening (2015–2018) 1.72%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 2.11%
tightening (2022–2023) 1.96%
easing (2024– ) 2.07%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-19)
vs real yield (Δ) +0.28 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) +0.01 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-10-20)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.59 corr +0.20 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.76 corr +0.28 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -4.96% rel (5d return)
vs S&P 500 -14.65% rel (10d return)
vs S&P 500 -9.57% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -20.99% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +21.86% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.61 corr +0.41 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.57 corr +0.34 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -2.66% rel (5d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -10.47% rel (10d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -6.25% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -22.16% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +18.77% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.61 corr +0.57 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.53 corr +0.63 (52w)
vs XLI -5.04% rel (5d return)
vs XLI -13.22% rel (10d return)
vs XLI -8.21% rel (20d return)
vs XLI -8.00% rel (60d return)
vs XLI +27.66% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (9 days)
last reported 2026-08-04 (77 days ago)