Caterpillar (CAT): RSI(14) 29.83 (4th percentile)
On 2026-10-19, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 725.79 USD, down 0.68% on the day. At the 2026-10-19 close, Caterpillar (CAT) had an RSI(14) of 29.83, in the 4th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of -11.11% is in the 6th percentile of its history since 1962. At the 2026-10-19 close, Caterpillar (CAT) traded at 38.3% of its 52-week range. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Caterpillar (CAT) last entered the overbought zone 161 days ago (2026-05-11) and the oversold zone today (2026-10-19). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Caterpillar (CAT) were 800.57 / 810.43 / 806.51 USD, with price -9.34% / -10.44% / -10.01% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 50-day, 200-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-19 close, the 52-week range of Caterpillar (CAT) was 510.21–1073.46 USD; it closed 32.39% below the high (12.9× its typical daily range) and 42.25% above the low (8.0× its typical daily range). The high was set 111 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 362 days ago (2025-10-22). At the 2026-10-19 close, Caterpillar (CAT) was 32.39% below its all-time intraday high of 1073.46 USD, set 111 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.040% daily, in the 74th percentile of its history since 1962. Its daily realised volatility is 1.271% over 5 days, 2.040% over 20 days, 2.234% over 60 days and 2.684% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 20.2%, 32.4%, 35.5% and 42.6% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 27.02 USD, 3.72% of price. It has returned -9.20% (2nd percentile since 1962) over 5 days, -14.43% (1st) over 10 days, -11.11% (6th) over 20 days, -18.33% (5th) over 60 days, -11.26% (19th) over 120 days and +34.17% (76th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.77 and a correlation of +0.28 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.60 and a correlation of +0.20. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -7.71% (5-day), -13.36% (10-day), -10.16% (20-day), -22.09% (60-day) and +18.15% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is +0.01 over 52 weeks and +0.25 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-19.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-10-19, prior 2026-10-16)
close 725.79
change -4.97 (-0.680%)
vs market S&P 500 +0.41% · Nasdaq 100 +1.21% (same day)
listing Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
range (as of 2026-10-19)
range 21.56
close pos 34.1% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-10-19)
20d MA 800.57 price below by -9.34%
50d MA 810.43 price below by -10.44%
200d MA 806.51 price below by -10.01%
200d MA slope +2.70% over 20 sessions (rising)
price < all MAs
stack: 50d > 200d > 20d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-07-28 (83d ago)
20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-10-16 (3d ago)
50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-07-16 (460d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-10-19)
20d stdev 2.040% daily ≈ 32.4% annualised (×√252) (74th pct of own history, since 1962 (16287 obs))
5d vol 1.271% daily ≈ 20.2% annualised (×√252) (43rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16302 obs))
60d vol 2.234% daily ≈ 35.5% annualised (×√252) (83rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16247 obs))
120d vol 2.684% daily ≈ 42.6% annualised (×√252) (94th pct of own history, since 1962 (16187 obs))
vs easing-2024 avg 0.98× (2.040% vs 2.072% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-10-19)
ATR(14) 27.02
ATR% 3.72% (93rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16293 obs))
range/ATR 79.8%
relative volume (as of 2026-10-19)
RVOL 1.05x (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
pctile 65th pct of own history, since 1962 (16287 obs)
avg vol 63d 2,665,069 (≈3-month average daily share volume)
52-week range (as of 2026-10-19)
high 1073.46 (-32.39% from high) [2026-06-30, 111d ago]
low 510.21 (+42.25% from low) [2025-10-22, 362d ago]
drawdown -32.39% from all-time intraday high, 111d ago (2026-06-30)
max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -46.25% (2018-01-22 170.89 -> 2020-03-23 91.85, 791d peak-to-trough); recovered 2020-11-10 (232d after trough)
momentum (as of 2026-10-19)
RSI(14) 29.83 (4th pct of own history, since 1962 (16293 obs))
last overbought 161d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 0d ago (2026-10-19)
MACD (as of 2026-10-19)
MACD(12,26,9) -20.80 (below signal) signal -10.24 hist -10.56
returns (as of 2026-10-19)
5d return -9.20% from 799.37 on 2026-10-12 (2nd pct of own history, since 1962 (16302 obs))
10d return -14.43% from 848.14 on 2026-10-05 (1st pct of own history, since 1962 (16297 obs))
20d return -11.11% from 816.50 on 2026-09-21 (6th pct of own history, since 1962 (16287 obs))
60d return -18.33% from 888.73 on 2026-07-24 (5th pct of own history, since 1962 (16247 obs))
120d return -11.26% from 817.87 on 2026-04-28 (19th pct of own history, since 1962 (16187 obs))
252d return +34.17% from 540.96 on 2025-10-16 (76th pct of own history, since 1962 (16055 obs))
YTD return +26.69% from 572.87 on 2025-12-31
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (to 2008) 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP (2009–2015) 2.02%
tightening (2015–2018) 1.72%
ZIRP (2019–2021) 2.11%
tightening (2022–2023) 1.96%
easing (2024– ) 2.07%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-10-16)
vs real yield (Δ) +0.25 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) +0.01 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-10-19)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.60 corr +0.20 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.77 corr +0.28 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -7.71% rel (5d return)
vs S&P 500 -13.36% rel (10d return)
vs S&P 500 -10.16% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -22.09% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +18.15% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.61 corr +0.41 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.57 corr +0.34 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -5.49% rel (5d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -9.42% rel (10d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -7.99% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -23.32% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +14.44% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.61 corr +0.57 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.53 corr +0.63 (52w)
vs XLI -7.74% rel (5d return)
vs XLI -12.42% rel (10d return)
vs XLI -9.17% rel (20d return)
vs XLI -9.59% rel (60d return)
vs XLI +24.22% rel (252d return)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (10 days)
last reported 2026-08-04 (76 days ago)