mercatusdata

NVIDIA (NVDA): 20-day volatility 1.478% daily (3rd percentile)

On 2026-10-20, NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at 216.47 USD, down 0.29% on the day. At the 2026-10-20 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an RSI(14) of 40.90, in the 16th percentile of its history since 1999. Its 20-day return of -5.42% is in the 25th percentile of its history since 1999. At the 2026-10-20 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at 66.0% of its 52-week range. The RSI(14) of NVIDIA (NVDA) last entered the overbought zone 160 days ago (2026-05-13) and the oversold zone 564 days ago (2025-04-04). It is trading above its 200-day but below its 20- and 50-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NVIDIA (NVDA) were 227.04 / 222.92 / 203.26 USD, with price -4.66% / -2.89% / +6.50% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of NVIDIA (NVDA) was 164.27–243.37 USD; it closed 11.05% below the high (4.5× its typical daily range) and 31.78% above the low (8.8× its typical daily range). The high was set 14 days ago (2026-10-06) and the low 204 days ago (2026-03-30). At the 2026-10-20 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) was 11.05% below its all-time intraday high of 243.37 USD, set 14 days ago (2026-10-06). Its 20-day volatility is 1.478% daily, in the 3rd percentile of its history since 1999. Its daily realised volatility is 1.711% over 5 days, 1.478% over 20 days, 2.236% over 60 days and 2.443% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 27.2%, 23.5%, 35.5% and 38.8% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.92 USD, 2.73% of price. It has returned -5.27% (18th percentile since 1999) over 5 days, -9.52% (14th) over 10 days, -5.42% (25th) over 20 days, +10.16% (50th) over 60 days, +3.45% (31st) over 120 days and +18.15% (34th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.73 and a correlation of +0.62 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +2.26 and a correlation of +0.65. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -4.08% (5-day), -8.16% (10-day), -4.75% (20-day), +6.12% (60-day) and +2.41% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is +0.07 over 52 weeks and +0.17 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-17.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.

=== NVIDIA (NVDA)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-20, prior 2026-10-19)
    close       216.47
    change      -0.62  (-0.286%)
    vs market   S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-20)
    range       5.69
    close pos   65.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-20)
     20d MA     227.04   price below by -4.66%
     50d MA     222.92   price below by -2.89%
    200d MA     203.26   price above by +6.50%
    200d MA slope  +2.22% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-06   (75d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-04-20   (183d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27   (480d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-20)
    20d stdev   1.478% daily ≈ 23.5% annualised (×√252)   (3rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6301 obs))
      5d vol     1.711% daily ≈ 27.2% annualised (×√252)   (21st pct of own history, since 1999 (6316 obs))
     60d vol     2.236% daily ≈ 35.5% annualised (×√252)   (18th pct of own history, since 1999 (6261 obs))
    120d vol     2.443% daily ≈ 38.8% annualised (×√252)   (20th pct of own history, since 1999 (6201 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.49× (1.478% vs 2.998% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-20)
    ATR(14)    5.92
    ATR%        2.73%   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6307 obs))
    range/ATR   96.2%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-20)
    RVOL        0.76x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      29th pct of own history, since 1999 (6301 obs)
    avg vol 63d 117,895,136  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-20)
    high        243.37   (-11.05% from high)   [2026-10-06, 14d ago]
    low         164.27   (+31.78% from low)   [2026-03-30, 204d ago]
    drawdown    -11.05% from all-time intraday high, 14d ago (2026-10-06)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -66.36% (2021-11-29 33.38 -> 2022-10-14 11.23, 319d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-05-25 (223d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-20)
    RSI(14)     40.90   (16th pct of own history, since 1999 (6307 obs))
    last overbought   160d ago (2026-05-13)
    last oversold   564d ago (2025-04-04)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-20)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -1.31 (below signal)   signal +1.01   hist -2.32
  returns          (as of 2026-10-20)
      5d return  -5.27%   from 228.52 on 2026-10-13   (18th pct of own history, since 1999 (6316 obs))
     10d return  -9.52%   from 239.24 on 2026-10-06   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6311 obs))
     20d return  -5.42%   from 228.87 on 2026-09-22   (25th pct of own history, since 1999 (6301 obs))
     60d return  +10.16%   from 196.51 on 2026-07-27   (50th pct of own history, since 1999 (6261 obs))
    120d return  +3.45%   from 209.25 on 2026-04-29   (31st pct of own history, since 1999 (6201 obs))
    252d return  +18.15%   from 183.22 on 2025-10-17   (34th pct of own history, since 1999 (6069 obs))
    YTD return  +16.07%   from 186.50 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (to 2008)     6.46%   (from 1999-01-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.05%
    tightening (2015–2018)   2.87%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.05%
    tightening (2022–2023)   3.56%
    easing (2024– )          3.00%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-19)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.17 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.07 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-20)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.26  corr +0.65  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.73  corr +0.62  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -4.08% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -8.16% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -4.75% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +6.12% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +2.41% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.20  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.19  corr +0.69  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -1.78% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -3.98% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -1.43% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +4.95% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.68% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.91  corr +0.70  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.97  corr +0.73  (52w)
    vs XLK  +0.25% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -1.32% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  +0.10% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  +3.77% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -11.98% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-17  (28 days)
    last reported 2026-08-26  (55 days ago)