MSFT's current RSI(14) reading and what that signal has historically been followed by.
MSFT’s RSI(14) is currently 62.4 (77th percentile of its own history), as of 2026-08-21.
This page covers Microsoft (MSFT) — its current RSI(14) reading and the measured historical record of what MSFT RSI(14) extremes were followed by.
Show recent RSI(14) values
| date | RSI(14) |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | 51.0 |
| 2026-07-14 | 47.5 |
| 2026-07-15 | 53.5 |
| 2026-07-16 | 56.2 |
| 2026-07-17 | 51.9 |
| 2026-07-20 | 56.1 |
| 2026-07-21 | 53.4 |
| 2026-07-22 | 49.2 |
| 2026-07-23 | 44.7 |
| 2026-07-24 | 44.7 |
| 2026-07-27 | 49.3 |
| 2026-07-28 | 51.7 |
| 2026-07-29 | 50.0 |
| 2026-07-30 | 71.8 |
| 2026-07-31 | 74.5 |
| 2026-08-03 | 78.3 |
| 2026-08-04 | 79.0 |
| 2026-08-05 | 76.1 |
| 2026-08-06 | 78.1 |
| 2026-08-07 | 78.1 |
| 2026-08-10 | 79.1 |
| 2026-08-11 | 77.7 |
| 2026-08-12 | 70.8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 71.8 |
| 2026-08-14 | 70.9 |
| 2026-08-17 | 62.2 |
| 2026-08-18 | 62.6 |
| 2026-08-19 | 63.5 |
| 2026-08-20 | 61.6 |
| 2026-08-21 | 62.4 |
How to read this. These figures are measured only on instruments currently in our coverage — a set of companies that survived. Signals that appear to have 'worked' on the downside are conditioned on these names having recovered; a company that fell and never came back would not be here to measure. Read every number below as a property of this surviving sample, not a universal rule, and never as advice.
All figures are ‘excess’ returns — measured relative to each instrument’s own historical drift, not relative to the market. This is not alpha and not a market-beating claim; it isolates the signal from the instrument’s background trend. Measured from the first day each signal appeared (not its most extreme point), so it reflects what was knowable in real time.
Measured across MSFT’s RSI(14) history from 1986 to 2026: 126 overbought episodes and 49 oversold episodes. Overbought readings were followed by -0.67% excess at 5 sessions and -1.74% by 20; oversold readings were followed by +1.68% excess at 5 sessions and +0.08% by 20.
On this signal, MSFT was most recently overbought on 2026-07-30 and most recently oversold on 2026-06-25.
Measured-outcome coverage runs through 2026-07-30 — the most recent episode with forward sessions scored; the current reading above is later, as of 2026-08-21.
When MSFT was overbought / at a high extreme
Across 126 past episodes where MSFT was overbought on this signal, the 125 with a complete 20-session forward window lagged MSFT’s own trailing drift by 1.74 percentage points on average (41% of those 125 beat drift).
| horizon | excess vs own drift | beat-drift rate | episodes with complete horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | -0.08% | 44% | 126 |
| 5 sessions | -0.67% | 44% | 126 |
| 20 sessions | -1.74% | 41% | 125 |
When MSFT was oversold / at a low extreme
Across 49 past episodes where MSFT was oversold on this signal, the close 20 sessions later beat MSFT’s own trailing drift by 0.08 percentage points on average (45% of episodes beat drift).
| horizon | excess vs own drift | beat-drift rate | episodes with complete horizon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 session | +1.26% | 57% | 49 |
| 5 sessions | +1.68% | 55% | 49 |
| 20 sessions | +0.08% | 45% | 49 |
How MSFT RSI(14) is measured
RSI(14) is the 14-day Relative Strength Index, a momentum gauge bounded between 0 and 100, computed from MSFT’s daily closing prices using Wilder’s smoothing. On this page a reading of 70 or above is treated as overbought and 30 or below as oversold; each historical episode is counted from the first session the threshold was reached (not its most extreme point).
Forward results are measured as excess versus MSFT’s own trailing drift, not versus the market. This page reports the readings and what historically followed them; it does not interpret any level as a signal to buy or sell. See the methodology & reproducibility notes for the full calculation and sample rules.
See MSFT’s current price, RSI, moving averages and 52-week range →