On 2026-08-18, Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 840.87 USD, down 4.62% on the day. Its 20-day return of -5.52% is in the 19th percentile. Its RSI(14) of 43.93 is in the 27th percentile of its history since 1962. It trades at 65.2% of its 52-week range. Its RSI last entered overbought 99 days ago (2026-05-11) and oversold 20 days ago (2026-07-29). It is trading above some and below others of its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20/50/200-day moving averages are 852.02 / 910.09 / 757.46 USD, with price -1.31% / -7.61% / +11.01% against them. Its moving averages stack 50-day > 20-day > 200-day. Its 52-week range is 405.46–1073.46 USD; it closed 21.67% below the high and 107.39% above the low. The high was set 49 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 365 days ago (2025-08-18). It is 21.67% below its all-time high, set 49 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.809% daily, in the 93rd percentile of its history since 1962. Its realized volatility across horizons is 5-day 2.834%, 20-day 2.809%, 60-day 3.016%, and 120-day 2.817% daily. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 36.44 USD, 4.33% of price. It has returned -0.30% over 5 days, -4.07% over 10 days, -5.52% over 20 days, -2.90% over 60 days, +9.69% over 120 days, and +106.20% over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly-return beta +0.79 / correlation +0.30 (52-week); beta +0.75 / correlation +0.33 (26-week). Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -7.95% (20-day), -6.20% (60-day), and +86.95% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation to the change in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.11 (52-week); -0.15 (26-week). Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.
=== CATERPILLAR (CAT) (USD) ===
price & change (as of 2026-08-18, prior 2026-08-17)
close 840.87
change -40.78 (-4.625%)
range (as of 2026-08-18)
range 29.11
close pos 20.8% of range
moving averages (as of 2026-08-18)
20d MA 852.02 price below by -1.31%
50d MA 910.09 price below by -7.61%
200d MA 757.46 price above by +11.01%
price mixed vs MAs
stack: 50d > 20d > 200d
20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-07-28 (21d ago)
20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27 (417d ago)
50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-07-16 (398d ago)
volatility (as of 2026-08-18)
20d stdev 2.809% daily ≈ 44.6% annualized (×√252) (93rd pct of own history, since 1962 (16244 obs))
term struct 5d 2.834% · 20d 2.809% · 60d 3.016% · 120d 2.817% daily
vs easing-2024 avg 1.35× (2.809% vs 2.083% era avg)
ATR (as of 2026-08-18)
ATR(14) 36.44
ATR% 4.33% (97th pct of own history, since 1962 (16250 obs))
range/ATR 79.9%
relative volume (as of 2026-08-18)
RVOL 0.88x (today vs 20-day average volume)
pctile 48th pct of own history, since 1962 (16244 obs)
52-week range (as of 2026-08-18)
high 1073.46 (-21.67% from high) [2026-06-30, 49d ago]
low 405.46 (+107.39% from low) [2025-08-18, 365d ago]
drawdown -21.67% from all-time high, 49d ago (2026-06-30)
momentum (as of 2026-08-18)
RSI(14) 43.93 (27th pct of own history, since 1962 (16250 obs))
last overbought 99d ago (2026-05-11)
last oversold 20d ago (2026-07-29)
MACD (as of 2026-08-18)
MACD(12,26,9) -13.53 (above signal) signal -18.23 hist +4.69
returns (as of 2026-08-18)
5d return -0.30%
10d return -4.07%
20d return -5.52%
60d return -2.90%
120d return +9.69%
252d return +106.20%
volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis 1.83% (from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP-2009 2.02%
tightening-2015 1.72%
ZIRP-2019 2.11%
tightening-2022 1.96%
easing-2024 2.08%
real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10) (as of 2026-08-17)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.15 (26w)
vs real yield (Δ) -0.11 (52w)
S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns) (as of 2026-08-18)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.75 corr +0.33 (26w)
vs S&P 500 beta +0.79 corr +0.30 (52w)
vs S&P 500 -7.95% rel (20d return)
vs S&P 500 -6.20% rel (60d return)
vs S&P 500 +86.95% rel (252d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.54 corr +0.37 (26w)
vs Nasdaq 100 beta +0.54 corr +0.31 (52w)
vs Nasdaq 100 -6.72% rel (20d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 -3.32% rel (60d return)
vs Nasdaq 100 +81.92% rel (252d return)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.49 corr +0.65 (26w)
vs XLI (Industrials) beta +1.52 corr +0.62 (52w)
earnings horizon
next earnings 2026-10-29 (72 days)