mercatusdata

NVIDIA (NVDA): 20-day volatility 1.401% daily (2nd percentile)

On 2026-10-13, NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at 228.52 USD, up 0.97% on the day. At the 2026-10-13 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at 81.2% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of +7.71% is in the 63rd percentile of its history since 1999. At the 2026-10-13 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an RSI(14) of 51.97, in the 44th percentile of its history since 1999. The RSI(14) of NVIDIA (NVDA) last entered the overbought zone 153 days ago (2026-05-13) and the oversold zone 557 days ago (2025-04-04). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NVIDIA (NVDA) were 228.32 / 223.03 / 202.54 USD, with price +0.09% / +2.46% / +12.83% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-13 close, the 52-week range of NVIDIA (NVDA) was 164.27–243.37 USD; it closed 6.10% below the high (2.7× its typical daily range) and 39.11% above the low (11.5× its typical daily range). The high was set 7 days ago (2026-10-06) and the low 197 days ago (2026-03-30). It is 6.10% below its all-time high, set 7 days ago (2026-10-06). Its 20-day volatility is 1.401% daily, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 1999. Its daily realised volatility is 1.414% over 5 days, 1.401% over 20 days, 2.308% over 60 days and 2.483% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 22.4%, 22.2%, 36.6% and 39.4% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.59 USD, 2.45% of price. It has returned -4.48% (21st percentile since 1999) over 5 days, +0.58% (47th) over 10 days, +7.71% (63rd) over 20 days, +12.42% (53rd) over 60 days, +12.85% (42nd) over 120 days and +24.77% (38th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.66 and a correlation of +0.60 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +2.17 and a correlation of +0.61. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -4.31% (5-day), -1.18% (10-day), +4.81% (20-day), +7.55% (60-day) and +5.64% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.01 over 52 weeks and -0.06 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-17.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-13.

=== NVIDIA (NVDA)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-13, prior 2026-10-12)
    close       228.52
    change      +2.20  (+0.972%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -0.02% · Nasdaq 100 -0.33% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-13)
    range       5.58
    close pos   97.8% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-13)
     20d MA     228.32   price above by +0.09%
     50d MA     223.03   price above by +2.46%
    200d MA     202.54   price above by +12.83%
    200d MA slope  +2.40% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price > all MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-06   (68d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-04-20   (176d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27   (473d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-13)
    20d stdev   1.401% daily ≈ 22.2% annualised (×√252)   (2nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6296 obs))
      5d vol     1.414% daily ≈ 22.5% annualised (×√252)   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6311 obs))
     60d vol     2.308% daily ≈ 36.6% annualised (×√252)   (20th pct of own history, since 1999 (6256 obs))
    120d vol     2.483% daily ≈ 39.4% annualised (×√252)   (22nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6196 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.47× (1.401% vs 3.004% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-13)
    ATR(14)    5.59
    ATR%        2.45%   (6th pct of own history, since 1999 (6302 obs))
    range/ATR   99.8%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-13)
    RVOL        0.79x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      34th pct of own history, since 1999 (6296 obs)
    avg vol 63d 118,806,049  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-13)
    high        243.37   (-6.10% from high)   [2026-10-06, 7d ago]
    low         164.27   (+39.11% from low)   [2026-03-30, 197d ago]
    drawdown    -6.10% from all-time high, 7d ago (2026-10-06)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -66.36% (2021-11-29 33.38 -> 2022-10-14 11.23, 319d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-05-25 (223d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-13)
    RSI(14)     51.97   (44th pct of own history, since 1999 (6302 obs))
    last overbought   153d ago (2026-05-13)
    last oversold   557d ago (2025-04-04)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-13)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +2.89 (below signal)   signal +3.55   hist -0.66
  returns          (as of 2026-10-13)
      5d return  -4.48%   from 239.24 on 2026-10-06   (21st pct of own history, since 1999 (6311 obs))
     10d return  +0.58%   from 227.21 on 2026-09-29   (47th pct of own history, since 1999 (6306 obs))
     20d return  +7.71%   from 212.17 on 2026-09-15   (63rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6296 obs))
     60d return  +12.42%   from 203.28 on 2026-07-20   (53rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6256 obs))
    120d return  +12.85%   from 202.50 on 2026-04-22   (42nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6196 obs))
    252d return  +24.77%   from 183.16 on 2025-10-10   (38th pct of own history, since 1999 (6064 obs))
    YTD return  +22.53%   from 186.50 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 6.46%   (from 1999-01-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.05%
    tightening (2015–2018)   2.87%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.05%
    tightening (2022–2023)   3.56%
    easing (2024– )          3.00%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-09)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.06 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.01 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.17  corr +0.61  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.66  corr +0.60  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -4.31% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -1.18% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +4.81% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +7.55% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +5.64% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.20  corr +0.64  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.19  corr +0.67  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -2.36% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -0.19% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +2.17% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +5.59% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -1.37% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.92  corr +0.68  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.98  corr +0.71  (52w)
    vs XLK  -1.65% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -0.34% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  +0.88% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  +0.71% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -16.25% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-17  (35 days)
    last reported 2026-08-26  (48 days ago)