mercatusdata

NVIDIA (NVDA): 20-day volatility 1.603% daily (5th percentile)

On 2026-10-14, NVIDIA (NVDA) closed at 221.3 USD, down 3.16% on the day. At the 2026-10-14 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) had an RSI(14) of 43.94, in the 23rd percentile of its history since 1999. At the 2026-10-14 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) traded at 72.1% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of +3.46% is in the 51st percentile of its history since 1999. The RSI(14) of NVIDIA (NVDA) last entered the overbought zone 154 days ago (2026-05-13) and the oversold zone 558 days ago (2025-04-04). It is trading above its 200-day but below its 20- and 50-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of NVIDIA (NVDA) were 228.69 / 223.21 / 202.69 USD, with price -3.23% / -0.86% / +9.18% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 52-week range of NVIDIA (NVDA) was 164.27–243.37 USD; it closed 9.07% below the high (3.8× its typical daily range) and 34.72% above the low (9.8× its typical daily range). The high was set 8 days ago (2026-10-06) and the low 198 days ago (2026-03-30). At the 2026-10-14 close, NVIDIA (NVDA) was 9.07% below its all-time intraday high of 243.37 USD, set 8 days ago (2026-10-06). Its 20-day volatility is 1.603% daily, in the 5th percentile of its history since 1999. Its daily realised volatility is 1.724% over 5 days, 1.603% over 20 days, 2.336% over 60 days and 2.498% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 27.4%, 25.4%, 37.1% and 39.7% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 5.83 USD, 2.63% of price. It has returned -6.81% (14th percentile since 1999) over 5 days, -3.10% (30th) over 10 days, +3.46% (51st) over 20 days, +6.76% (44th) over 60 days, +10.85% (39th) over 120 days and +17.51% (33rd) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +1.68 and a correlation of +0.61 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +2.20 and a correlation of +0.62. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -5.75% (5-day), -3.98% (10-day), +1.25% (20-day), +3.97% (60-day) and +1.52% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.01 over 52 weeks and +0.01 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-11-17.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-14.

=== NVIDIA (NVDA)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-14, prior 2026-10-13)
    close       221.30
    change      -7.22  (-3.159%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -1.11% · Nasdaq 100 -1.97% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-14)
    range       6.36
    close pos   26.1% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-14)
     20d MA     228.69   price below by -3.23%
     50d MA     223.21   price below by -0.86%
    200d MA     202.69   price above by +9.18%
    200d MA slope  +2.39% over 20 sessions (rising)
    price mixed vs MAs
    stack: 20d > 50d > 200d
    20d MA last crossed above 50d MA: 2026-08-06   (69d ago)
    20d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2026-04-20   (177d ago)
    50d MA last crossed above 200d MA: 2025-06-27   (474d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-14)
    20d stdev   1.603% daily ≈ 25.5% annualised (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 1999 (6297 obs))
      5d vol     1.724% daily ≈ 27.4% annualised (×√252)   (22nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6312 obs))
     60d vol     2.336% daily ≈ 37.1% annualised (×√252)   (21st pct of own history, since 1999 (6257 obs))
    120d vol     2.498% daily ≈ 39.6% annualised (×√252)   (23rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6197 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.53× (1.603% vs 3.004% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-14)
    ATR(14)    5.83
    ATR%        2.63%   (11th pct of own history, since 1999 (6303 obs))
    range/ATR   109.1%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-14)
    RVOL        1.11x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      72nd pct of own history, since 1999 (6297 obs)
    avg vol 63d 118,718,001  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-14)
    high        243.37   (-9.07% from high)   [2026-10-06, 8d ago]
    low         164.27   (+34.72% from low)   [2026-03-30, 198d ago]
    drawdown    -9.07% from all-time intraday high, 8d ago (2026-10-06)
    max drawdown (10-year, close-basis) -66.36% (2021-11-29 33.38 -> 2022-10-14 11.23, 319d peak-to-trough); recovered 2023-05-25 (223d after trough)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-14)
    RSI(14)     43.94   (23rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6303 obs))
    last overbought   154d ago (2026-05-13)
    last oversold   558d ago (2025-04-04)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-14)
    MACD(12,26,9)   +1.98 (below signal)   signal +3.23   hist -1.26
  returns          (as of 2026-10-14)
      5d return  -6.81%   from 237.47 on 2026-10-07   (14th pct of own history, since 1999 (6312 obs))
     10d return  -3.10%   from 228.38 on 2026-09-30   (30th pct of own history, since 1999 (6307 obs))
     20d return  +3.46%   from 213.90 on 2026-09-16   (51st pct of own history, since 1999 (6297 obs))
     60d return  +6.76%   from 207.29 on 2026-07-21   (44th pct of own history, since 1999 (6257 obs))
    120d return  +10.85%   from 199.64 on 2026-04-23   (39th pct of own history, since 1999 (6197 obs))
    252d return  +17.51%   from 188.32 on 2025-10-13   (33rd pct of own history, since 1999 (6065 obs))
    YTD return  +18.66%   from 186.50 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    pre-crisis (through 2008) 6.46%   (from 1999-01-22)
    ZIRP (2009–2015)         3.05%
    tightening (2015–2018)   2.87%
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         3.05%
    tightening (2022–2023)   3.56%
    easing (2024– )          3.00%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs real yield (Δ) +0.01 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.01 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs S&P 500  beta +2.20  corr +0.62  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.68  corr +0.61  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -5.75% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -3.98% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  +1.25% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  +3.97% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  +1.52% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.21  corr +0.66  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +1.19  corr +0.68  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -3.01% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -1.64% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +0.02% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  +3.94% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -3.57% rel (252d return)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.92  corr +0.69  (26w)
    vs XLK (Information Technology)  beta +0.97  corr +0.72  (52w)
    vs XLK  -1.37% rel (5d return)
    vs XLK  -0.38% rel (10d return)
    vs XLK  -0.07% rel (20d return)
    vs XLK  +1.42% rel (60d return)
    vs XLK  -16.04% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-11-17  (34 days)
    last reported 2026-08-26  (49 days ago)