mercatusdata

Rivian (RIVN): 20-day volatility 1.982% daily (1st percentile)

On 2026-10-14, Rivian (RIVN) closed at 12.95 USD, down 3.14% on the day. At the 2026-10-14 close, Rivian (RIVN) had an RSI(14) of 25.74, in the 2nd percentile of its history since 2021. At the 2026-10-14 close, Rivian (RIVN) traded at 5.4% of its 52-week range. Its 20-day return of -14.97% is in the 25th percentile of its history since 2021. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Rivian (RIVN) last entered the overbought zone 100 days ago (2026-07-06) and the oversold zone 1 day ago (2026-10-13). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Rivian (RIVN) were 14.6 / 15.39 / 15.9 USD, with price -11.31% / -15.85% / -18.57% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 200-day, 50-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-14 close, the 52-week range of Rivian (RIVN) was 12.39–22.69 USD; it closed 42.93% below the high (16.8× its typical daily range) and 4.52% above the low (1.0× its typical daily range). The high was set 296 days ago (2025-12-22) and the low 344 days ago (2025-11-04). At the 2026-10-14 close, Rivian (RIVN) was 92.78% below its all-time intraday high of 179.47 USD, set 1793 days ago (2021-11-16). Its 20-day volatility is 1.982% daily, in the 1st percentile of its history since 2021. Its daily realised volatility is 1.317% over 5 days, 1.982% over 20 days, 2.765% over 60 days and 3.971% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 20.9%, 31.5%, 43.9% and 63.0% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 0.58 USD, 4.48% of price. It has returned -9.69% (15th percentile since 2021) over 5 days, -13.32% (18th) over 10 days, -14.97% (25th) over 20 days, -27.08% (26th) over 60 days, -23.60% (30th) over 120 days and -0.84% (63rd) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.82 and a correlation of +0.17 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +1.17 and a correlation of +0.23. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -8.63% (5-day), -14.20% (10-day), -17.18% (20-day), -29.88% (60-day) and -16.83% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.24 over 52 weeks and -0.17 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-14.

=== RIVIAN (RIVN)  (USD) ===
  price & change   (as of 2026-10-14, prior 2026-10-13)
    close       12.95
    change      -0.42  (-3.141%)
    vs market   S&P 500 -1.11% · Nasdaq 100 -1.97% (same day)
    listing     Exchange: NASDAQ, Currency: USD
  range            (as of 2026-10-14)
    range       0.48
    close pos   25.0% of range
  moving averages  (as of 2026-10-14)
     20d MA     14.60   price below by -11.31%
     50d MA     15.39   price below by -15.85%
    200d MA     15.90   price below by -18.57%
    200d MA slope  -2.52% over 20 sessions (falling)
    price < all MAs
    stack: 200d > 50d > 20d
    20d MA last crossed below 50d MA: 2026-08-07   (68d ago)
    20d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-08-14   (61d ago)
    50d MA last crossed below 200d MA: 2026-09-15   (29d ago)
  volatility       (as of 2026-10-14)
    20d stdev   1.982% daily ≈ 31.5% annualised (×√252)   (1st pct of own history, since 2021 (1216 obs))
      5d vol     1.317% daily ≈ 20.9% annualised (×√252)   (4th pct of own history, since 2021 (1231 obs))
     60d vol     2.765% daily ≈ 43.9% annualised (×√252)   (5th pct of own history, since 2021 (1176 obs))
    120d vol     3.971% daily ≈ 63.0% annualised (×√252)   (11th pct of own history, since 2021 (1116 obs))
    vs easing-2024 avg  0.46× (1.982% vs 4.336% era avg)
  ATR              (as of 2026-10-14)
    ATR(14)    0.58
    ATR%        4.48%   (5th pct of own history, since 2021 (1222 obs))
    range/ATR   82.7%
  relative volume  (as of 2026-10-14)
    RVOL        0.91x  (today vs prior 20-day average, excl. today)
    pctile      54th pct of own history, since 2021 (1216 obs)
    avg vol 63d 23,216,288  (≈3-month average daily share volume)
  52-week range    (as of 2026-10-14)
    high        22.69   (-42.93% from high)   [2025-12-22, 296d ago]
    low         12.39   (+4.52% from low)   [2025-11-04, 344d ago]
    drawdown    -92.78% from all-time intraday high, 1793d ago (2021-11-16)
    max drawdown (4y history, close-basis) -95.12% (2021-11-16 172.01 -> 2024-04-15 8.40, 881d peak-to-trough); not yet recovered (912d and counting)
  momentum         (as of 2026-10-14)
    RSI(14)     25.74   (2nd pct of own history, since 2021 (1222 obs))
    last overbought   100d ago (2026-07-06)
    last oversold   1d ago (2026-10-13)
  MACD             (as of 2026-10-14)
    MACD(12,26,9)   -0.59 (below signal)   signal -0.44   hist -0.15
  returns          (as of 2026-10-14)
      5d return  -9.69%   from 14.34 on 2026-10-07   (15th pct of own history, since 2021 (1231 obs))
     10d return  -13.32%   from 14.94 on 2026-09-30   (18th pct of own history, since 2021 (1226 obs))
     20d return  -14.97%   from 15.23 on 2026-09-16   (25th pct of own history, since 2021 (1216 obs))
     60d return  -27.08%   from 17.76 on 2026-07-21   (26th pct of own history, since 2021 (1176 obs))
    120d return  -23.60%   from 16.95 on 2026-04-23   (30th pct of own history, since 2021 (1116 obs))
    252d return  -0.84%   from 13.06 on 2025-10-13   (63rd pct of own history, since 2021 (984 obs))
    YTD return  -34.30%   from 19.71 on 2025-12-31
  volatility by rate-era
    ZIRP (2019–2021)         8.18%   (from 2021-11-10)
    tightening (2022–2023)   5.15%
    easing (2024– )          4.34%
  real-yield sensitivity (weekly returns vs weekly Δ in 10Y TIPS real yield, DFII10)  (as of 2026-10-13)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.17 (26w)
    vs real yield (Δ) -0.24 (52w)
  S&P 500 market factor (weekly returns)  (as of 2026-10-14)
    vs S&P 500  beta +1.17  corr +0.23  (26w)
    vs S&P 500  beta +0.82  corr +0.17  (52w)
    vs S&P 500  -8.63% rel (5d return)
    vs S&P 500  -14.20% rel (10d return)
    vs S&P 500  -17.18% rel (20d return)
    vs S&P 500  -29.88% rel (60d return)
    vs S&P 500  -16.83% rel (252d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +0.35  corr +0.13  (26w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  beta +0.50  corr +0.16  (52w)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -5.89% rel (5d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -11.86% rel (10d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -18.41% rel (20d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -29.90% rel (60d return)
    vs Nasdaq 100  -21.93% rel (252d return)
    vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary)  beta +1.01  corr +0.36  (26w)
    vs XLY (Consumer Discretionary)  beta +1.01  corr +0.33  (52w)
    vs XLY  -9.82% rel (5d return)
    vs XLY  -15.76% rel (10d return)
    vs XLY  -16.17% rel (20d return)
    vs XLY  -24.15% rel (60d return)
    vs XLY  +3.80% rel (252d return)
  earnings horizon
    next earnings 2026-10-29  (15 days)