mercatusdata

Eli Lilly (LLY) technical indicators: RSI, moving averages, 52-week range

Eli Lilly (LLY) closed at 1283.66 USD on 2026-10-20, up 3.49%, the 95th percentile of its daily moves by size since 1972. It is 2.14% below its 52-week high and 61.71% above its 52-week low, and is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20-day return of +9.70% is in the 89th percentile of its history since 1972. Eli Lilly (LLY) had an RSI(14) of 69.77 at the 2026-10-20 close, in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1972. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week high of Eli Lilly (LLY) was 1311.75 USD, set on 2026-10-20, and the 52-week low 793.82 USD, set on 2025-10-22. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20-day moving average of Eli Lilly (LLY) was 1188.21 USD. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 50-day moving average of Eli Lilly (LLY) was 1182.47 USD. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 200-day moving average of Eli Lilly (LLY) was 1081.75 USD.

1283.66 USDup 3.49% · 95th percentile by magnitude · move 1.16× ATR · +3.21pp vs S&P (index +0.28% today) · volume 1.30× 20-day avg (80th percentile)

Day’s range 1260.17–1311.75 USD · closed 45.5% of range · width 1.38× ATR52-week low 793.82 (2025-10-22) · high 1311.75 (2026-10-20)94.6% of the way from low to high

Today (changed)

New 52wk intraday high (1311.75) — also an all-time high; exceeded the prior 52wk high of 1292.65 by 1.48%; Overnight gap +1.87% — 96th percentile; Daily move +3.49% — 95th percentile

1 state change · 3 notable moves

Shifts since 2026-10-19 — two standing rows, then the most unusual shifts against each metric’s own history

Ranked metric shifts
MetricPriorTodayChangeΔ vs 2026-10-13Move percentile
RVOL 1.30×45th80th+35 pctile pts——
MACD histogram+10.14+12.15+2.01——
50-day MA dist+4.99%+8.56%+3.57 pp+9.33 pp96th
RSI63.3869.77+6.39 pts+19.80 pts86th

The first two rows are always shown and are not ranked; — marks a cell that does not apply.

Notable moves today

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Opened up 1.87% from the prior close, above the prior session's high; closed in the lower half of the day's range, above the prior close.

Unusualness #26/73 (1 = most unusual) (was #42). Today's daily move, by magnitude, is in the 95th percentile of its own history since 1972. That is the reading furthest from its historical median among its daily move (by magnitude), 20-day return, RSI, 20-day volatility and relative volume.

Standing distances: RSI 69.77 is 0.23 pts below 70 · price 2.14% (0.8× ATR) below the 52-week high · 61.71% (13.1× ATR) above the 52-week low · 8.03% (2.6× ATR) above the 20-day MA (1188.21) · 8.56% (2.7× ATR) above the 50-day MA (1182.47) · 18.66% (5.4× ATR) above the 200-day MA (1081.75)

Technical assessment

A transparent, rules-based reading of the statistics on this page — informational and educational only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Each scored factor shows the metrics behind it; full numbers are in the sections below.

Factor tally: 4 positive

Technical assessment factors
FactorReadingSummary
Short-term momentum5/10-day returns: +10.04% · +10.90%; MACD +22.80 above signal +10.65; histogram +12.15 (up 2.01 on the previous session).Improving
Medium-term trend20/60/120-day returns: +9.70% · +7.19% · +50.80%.Positive
Moving averagesprice vs 20/50/200-day MA: +8.03% · +8.56% · +18.66%; stack 20d > 50d > 200d.Above trend MAs
Relative performancevs the S&P 500 over 20/60/252 days: +10.37% · +3.15% · +44.16%; vs the Nasdaq 100: +13.69% · +1.99% · +41.07%.Outperforming

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.

Price chart

80090010001100120013002025-102026-012026-042026-072026-1052wk hi 131252wk lo 7941283.6620d50d200d
Close price and 20/50/200-day simple moving averages over the last 252 sessions, with the 52-week high/low band. Over the plotted window the close ranged from 799.57 to 1283.66, ending at 1283.66. The latest close is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages.
Close price over the last 20 sessions, with the 20-day moving average marked (dashed).

Price and momentum

Close
1283.66 USD
Daily change
up 3.49% — 95th percentile by magnitude since 1972 (13694 obs)
vs market (same day)
S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10%
MACD (12, 26, 9)
+22.80 (above signal) · signal +10.65 · histogram +12.15 · +2.01 vs 2026-10-19
20-day return
+9.70% — 89th percentile since 1972 (13675 obs) · +10 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19

RSI(14)

RSI(14)
69.77 — 92nd percentile since 1972 (13681 obs) · +6.39 (86th percentile move · +11 pctile pts) vs 2026-10-19 · +19.80 vs 2026-10-13
RSI last overbought
116 days ago (2026-06-26)
RSI last oversold
207 days ago (2026-03-27)

Session

Listing
Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
Open
1263.5 USD
High
1311.75 USD
Low
1260.17 USD
Prior close
1240.34 USD
Prior O/H/L
O 1243.39 USD · H 1259.75 USD · L 1239.1 USD
Gap (overnight)
+1.87% — 96th percentile by magnitude since 1972 (13694 obs)
Intraday (session)
+1.60%
Intraday range
4.02% of price — 94th percentile since 1972 (13695 obs)
Close position
45.5% of range
Up days (history)
51.2% of 12995 directional sessions (flat days excluded)
Daily-move distribution
-2.54% / -0.85% / +0.00% / +0.93% / +2.71% (p5–p95; -32.58 to +34.74 USD at today’s close; 13694 obs)
≥4% daily moves
0 of last 20 sessions (0%)

Moving averages

Moving averages
PeriodValuePrice vs MA
20-day MA1188.21 USD+8.03% · +3.14 pp (94th percentile move since 1972) vs 2026-10-19 · +7.91 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 2.6× its typical daily range (ATR)
50-day MA1182.47 USD+8.56% · +3.57 pp (96th percentile move since 1972) vs 2026-10-19 · +9.33 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 2.7× its typical daily range (ATR)
200-day MA1081.75 USD+18.66% · +3.89 pp (96th percentile move since 1972) vs 2026-10-19 · +10.40 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 5.4× its typical daily range (ATR)
VWAP (20-day)1192.21 USD+7.67%
VWAP (60-day)1182.65 USD+8.54%

Moving-average trend & crossovers

200-day slope (20-session)
+1.32% · rising
Price vs 20-day MA
closed above it for 11 sessions, since 2026-10-06
Price vs 50-day MA
closed above it for 5 sessions, since 2026-10-14
Price vs 200-day MA
closed above it for 120 sessions, since 2026-04-30
20-day / 50-day
20-day crossed above 50-day · 2026-10-19 (1 day ago)
20-day / 200-day
20-day crossed above 200-day · 2025-10-13 (372 days ago)
50-day / 200-day
50-day crossed above 200-day · 2025-11-05 (349 days ago)

52-week range (changed)

Position
94.6% of range
Drawdown from all-time intraday high
-2.14% · today (2026-10-20)
Maximum drawdown (10-year, close-basis)
-34.83% · 2024-08-30 960.02 USD → 2025-08-08 625.65 USD · recovered 2025-11-10
52-week high
1311.75 USD · price -2.14% · 2026-10-20 (today)
52-week low
793.82 USD · price +61.71% · 2025-10-22 (363 days ago)
Fresh 52-week extremes, last 20 sessions
1 new high

Volatility

5-day realised volatility
2.278% daily · 36.2% annualised — 87th percentile since 1972 (13690 obs)
20-day realised volatility
1.855% daily · 29.4% annualised — 74th percentile since 1972 (13675 obs) · +6 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19 · +0.54 pp vs 2026-10-13
60-day realised volatility
1.950% daily · 31.0% annualised — 76th percentile since 1972 (13635 obs)
120-day realised volatility
2.149% daily · 34.1% annualised — 83rd percentile since 1972 (13575 obs)
Term structure (20d vs 120d)
0.86× — 1.855% vs 2.149% (near-term below its longer-horizon baseline)
ATR (14)
37.34 USD · 2.91% of price — 84th percentile since 1972 (13681 obs)

Volume and participation

Relative volume
1.30× prior 20-day average (excl. today) — 80th percentile since 1972 (13675 obs) · +35 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19 · +0.47× vs 2026-10-13
Volume
2.97M shares
3-month avg volume (63 sessions)
2.49M shares/day
Dollar volume
$3.81B — 75th percentile (trailing 252 sessions) · 80th percentile (trailing 20 sessions) · scales with price level; see relative volume above for a price-neutral read
20-day avg $ volume
$2.74B

Short interest and short volume

Short volume
48.8% of reported volume (697K of 1.43M shares; FINRA off-exchange/TRF volume, not the consolidated tape, as of 2026-10-20) · prior 20-session average 47.9% · 86th percentile of the past 252 sessions
Days to cover
2.93 · short interest 7.04M shares ÷ 2.4M avg daily volume (settlement-window average), -6.4% since prior settlement (FINRA, settled 2026-09-30; reported twice monthly)
Short interest (% of shares outstanding)
0.75% of shares outstanding (not free float) — short interest settled 2026-09-30 ÷ shares outstanding cover-page as-of 2026-08-03

Returns

5-day
+10.04% — 99th percentile since 1972 (13690 obs) · from 1166.51 USD on 2026-10-13
10-day
+10.90% — 97th percentile since 1972 (13685 obs) · from 1157.49 USD on 2026-10-06
20-day
+9.70% — 89th percentile since 1972 (13675 obs) · from 1170.14 USD on 2026-09-22
60-day
+7.19% — 66th percentile since 1972 (13635 obs) · from 1197.53 USD on 2026-07-27
120-day
+50.80% — 99th percentile since 1972 (13575 obs) · from 851.21 USD on 2026-04-29
252-day
+59.89% — 93rd percentile since 1972 (13443 obs) · from 802.83 USD on 2025-10-17
Year to date
+19.45% · from 1074.68 USD on 2025-12-31
Overnight vs intraday (20d)
overnight +7.27% · intraday +2.27% (compounds to +9.70% total)
Overnight vs intraday (60d)
overnight +17.68% · intraday -8.91% (compounds to +7.19% total)
Overnight vs intraday (252d)
overnight +59.70% · intraday +0.12% (compounds to +59.89% total)

Market factor

S&P 500 (52-week)
beta -0.00 · correlation -0.00
S&P 500 (26-week)
beta -0.64 · correlation -0.22
Nasdaq 100 (52-week)
beta -0.22 · correlation -0.13
Nasdaq 100 (26-week)
beta -0.44 · correlation -0.30
Health Care (XLV, 52-week)
beta +1.55 · correlation +0.81
Health Care (XLV, 26-week)
beta +1.39 · correlation +0.80
Health Care (XLV) — this stock's weight, as of 2026-06-30 (quarterly SEC filing)
16.5%
10Y TIPS real-yield change (52-week)
correlation -0.27
10Y TIPS real-yield change (26-week)
correlation -0.25

Key dates

Next earnings
2026-10-29 (9 days)
Next Fed decision (FOMC)
2026-10-28 (8 days)
Next jobs report (BLS)
2026-11-06 (17 days)
Next CPI (BLS)
2026-11-10 (21 days)
Next quarterly index rebalance (S&P 500 & Nasdaq-100)
2026-12-18 (59 days) — effective the following trading day
Next monthly options expiration
2026-11-20 (31 days)
Last earnings reported
2026-08-05 (76 days ago)
Earnings reaction (realised)
±6.12% median 1-day move · 0.17–14.14% range · last 12 reported
Recent SEC filings
8-K 2026-08-05 (Items 2.02, 9.01) · 10-Q 2026-08-05 · 10-K 2026-02-12 · proxy 2026-03-20 (EDGAR)
Last ex-dividend
2026-08-14, $1.73
Volatility by rate-era
pre-crisis (to 2008)
1.77% (data from 1972-06-01)
ZIRP (2009–2015)
1.29%
tightening (2015–2018)
1.34%
ZIRP (2019–2021)
2.07%
tightening (2022–2023)
1.77%
easing (2024– )
2.26%

Market backdrop: 10Y 5.15% (as of 2026-10-19) · VIX 17.31 (as of 2026-10-20) · dollar 121.40 (as of 2026-10-16) — Treasury curve, real yields, VIX and the dollar

Risk & context

What these badges mean
RSI
RSI(14) is 69.77. Below 30 oversold, 70 and above overbought; between them neither extreme: 30–45 neutral-low, 45–55 neutral, 55–70 neutral-high. A condition, not a direction.
Volatility
20-day realised volatility at the 74th percentile of its own history since 1972. Higher = larger daily swings; a risk measure, not a direction.
52-week position
Trading at 94.6% of the 52-week range. Position only — being near the high is not itself bullish or bearish.
Beta
52-week beta to the S&P 500 is -0.00. Higher = amplifies market moves; a risk measure, not a direction.
Relative volume
Relative volume 1.30x its 20-day average, 80th percentile since 1972. Participation behind the move; not a direction.
Earnings
Next scheduled earnings: 2026-10-29 (in 9 days).
Scoring method
Short-term momentum
Majority of three votes: the combined 5- and 10-day returns (one vote); MACD against its signal line; the histogram's change on the previous session. A tie reads Mixed.
Medium-term trend
Based on the majority sign of the medium-term return horizons.
Moving averages
Scored on price vs the 50- and 200-day trend averages.
Relative performance
Scored on the majority sign of relative return vs the S&P 500.

Relative performance

This stock’s return minus a benchmark’s over the same window (percentage points; positive = outperformed), at three adjustments: raw vs the index, beta-adjusted excess (isolating the stock-specific move) and vs its sector ETF.

Raw, vs market index

Relative performance, raw vs market index
Relative returnS&P 500Nasdaq 100
5-day+11.23%+13.53%
10-day+12.26%+16.43%
20-day+10.37%+13.69%
60-day+3.15%+1.99%
252-day+44.16%+41.07%

Beta-adjusted excess

Stock return minus its beta times the index’s return (single-factor approximation, not a causal claim).

Beta-adjusted excess return
Excess returnS&P 500Nasdaq 100
1-day+3.49%+3.47%
5-day+10.04%+9.28%
10-day+10.90%+9.68%
20-day+9.70%+8.82%
60-day+7.19%+8.34%
252-day+59.89%+64.03%

vs sector ETF (XLV · Health Care)

Return minus the SPDR sector ETF’s (“vs XLV”; positive = outpaced the sector), plus the ETF’s own return.

Relative performance vs sector ETF
Sector returnvs XLVXLV own
1-day+1.12%+2.37%
5-day+4.05%+5.99%
10-day+3.28%+7.62%
20-day+3.86%+5.84%
60-day-2.86%+10.05%
252-day+34.38%+25.51%

Compared with other stocks

Rank among covered stocks

This stock’s standing on each measure across the covered-stock universe (1 = highest) — a cross-sectional companion to the own-history percentiles above, computed from the same daily dataset. Ranks compare each stock’s current reading; the underlying own-history percentiles draw on histories of differing length (some reaching into coarser early-era pricing), so they are not strictly comparable instrument-to-instrument — read each alongside its own “since YYYY” basis in the table above.

Rank among covered stocks
MeasureRank
20-day return8 of 48 stocks
RSI(14)12 of 48 stocks
52-week position9 of 48 stocks
20-day realised vol16 of 48 stocks
Relative volume4 of 48 stocks

Of its 4 Health Care peers today: 4 up, 0 down · median +2.27% · Eli Lilly (LLY) +3.49% (+1.22 pp vs peer median).

Across the 48 covered stocks today: 29 advancing, 19 declining · 27/48 above their 20-day MA, 25/48 above 50-day, 28/48 above 200-day · median 20-day return -0.60%. Eli Lilly (LLY) is above its 20-, 50- and 200-day MAs (20-day return +10.30 pp vs the median stock).

Sector peers — Health Care

Sector peers
StockSame-day20-day returnRSI percentile52-wk positionNext earnings
Eli Lilly (LLY)+3.49%+9.70%92nd94.6%2026-10-29 · 9d
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)+2.19%-3.65%38th77.5%—
UnitedHealth (UNH)+3.04%+12.42%94th79.4%2027-01-12 · 84d
Pfizer (PFE)+2.28%+7.81%97th97.9%2026-11-03 · 14d
AbbVie (ABBV)+2.26%+9.00%92nd97.7%2026-10-30 · 10d

Each stock’s own latest readings for 2026-10-20, from the same daily dataset. 52-week position: 0% at the low, 100% at the high.

Full daily summary

At the 2026-10-20 close, Eli Lilly (LLY) traded at 94.6% of its 52-week range. At the 2026-10-20 close, Eli Lilly (LLY) had an RSI(14) of 69.77, in the 92nd percentile of its history since 1972. Its 20-day return of +9.70% is in the 89th percentile of its history since 1972. The RSI(14) of Eli Lilly (LLY) last entered the overbought zone 116 days ago (2026-06-26) and the oversold zone 207 days ago (2026-03-27). It is trading above its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Eli Lilly (LLY) were 1188.21 / 1182.47 / 1081.75 USD, with price +8.03% / +8.56% / +18.66% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 20-day, 50-day and 200-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of Eli Lilly (LLY) was 793.82–1311.75 USD; it closed 2.14% below the high (0.8× its typical daily range) and 61.71% above the low (13.1× its typical daily range). The high was set today (2026-10-20) and the low 363 days ago (2025-10-22). At the 2026-10-20 close, Eli Lilly (LLY) was 2.14% below its all-time intraday high of 1311.75 USD, set today (2026-10-20). Its 20-day volatility is 1.855% daily, in the 74th percentile of its history since 1972. Its daily realised volatility is 2.278% over 5 days, 1.855% over 20 days, 1.950% over 60 days and 2.149% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 36.2%, 29.4%, 31.0% and 34.1% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 37.34 USD, 2.91% of price. It has returned +10.04% (99th percentile since 1972) over 5 days, +10.90% (97th) over 10 days, +9.70% (89th) over 20 days, +7.19% (66th) over 60 days, +50.80% (99th) over 120 days and +59.89% (93rd) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of -0.00 and a correlation of -0.00 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of -0.64 and a correlation of -0.22. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned +11.23% (5-day), +12.26% (10-day), +10.37% (20-day), +3.15% (60-day) and +44.16% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is -0.27 over 52 weeks and -0.25 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Methodology

This page reports market statistics computed from daily closing data. It states figures and their historical context, and adds a Technical Assessment: a transparent, rules-based reading that puts those same statistics into plain language, including a factor sign tally — a count of how many scored factors read positive, negative or mixed, not a composite score or analyst rating. Every reading follows a fixed, published rule and traces back to the metrics on this page. It is informational and educational only — not investment advice, a price target, a forecast or a recommendation to buy or sell.

Full definitions for every metric on this page — how each is computed, over what window and on what basis — are on the methodology page.

Machine-readable: this page’s numbers and 252-session price history as JSON or the daily close and moving-average series as CSV — the figures above plus the series behind the chart, refreshed each session.

See where Eli Lilly (LLY) ranks among today’s most statistically unusual readings on the cross-asset market screener.

See what RSI extremes and other signals have historically been followed by for Eli Lilly (LLY) in its measured signal track record.