Caterpillar (CAT) technical indicators: RSI, moving averages, 52-week range

Data as of 2026-10-20

Caterpillar (CAT) closed at 725.24 USD on 2026-10-20, down 0.08%, the 7th percentile of its daily moves by size since 1962. It is 32.44% below its 52-week high and 42.15% above its 52-week low, and is below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Its 20-day return of -10.24% is in the 7th percentile of its history since 1962. Caterpillar (CAT) had an RSI(14) of 29.74 at the 2026-10-20 close, in the 4th percentile of its history since 1962. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week high of Caterpillar (CAT) was 1073.46 USD, set on 2026-06-30, and the 52-week low 510.21 USD, set on 2025-10-22. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20-day moving average of Caterpillar (CAT) was 796.43 USD. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 50-day moving average of Caterpillar (CAT) was 808.18 USD. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 200-day moving average of Caterpillar (CAT) was 807.14 USD.

725.24 USDdown 0.08% · 7th percentile by magnitude · move 0.02× ATR · -0.36pp vs S&P (index +0.28% today) · volume 1.04× 20-day avg (64th percentile)

Day’s range 708.75–734.38 USD · closed 64.3% of range · width 0.95× ATR52-week low 510.21 (2025-10-22) · high 1073.46 (2026-06-30)38.2% of the way from low to high

Today (changed)

Overnight gap -2.04% — 97th percentile

0 state changes · 1 notable move

Shifts since 2026-10-19 — two standing rows, then the most unusual shifts against each metric’s own history

Ranked metric shifts
Metric	Prior	Today	Change	Δ vs 2026-10-13	Move percentile
RVOL 1.04×	65th	64th	-1 pctile pts	—	—
MACD histogram	-10.56	-10.23	+0.33	—	—
20-day MA dist	-9.34%	-8.94%	+0.40 pp	-3.89 pp	23rd
RSI	29.83	29.74	-0.09 pts	-8.45 pts	6th

The first two rows are always shown and are not ranked; — marks a cell that does not apply.

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Opened down 2.04% from the prior close, below the prior session's low; closed in the upper half of the day's range, below the prior close.

7th consecutive down day (-9.40% since the 2026-10-09 close)
1st-smallest move of last 20 sessions
4 sessions since a ≥2% move
78 sessions since 52-week high
9 sessions below 200-day MA
FOMC in 8d
Earnings in 9d
Jobs report in 17d

Unusualness #21/73 (1 = most unusual) (was #18). Its most notable reading: RSI(14) 29.74 (4th percentile of its history).

Standing distances: RSI 29.74 is 0.26 pts below 30 · price 32.44% (12.9× ATR) below the 52-week high · 42.15% (8.0× ATR) above the 52-week low · 8.94% (2.6× ATR) below the 20-day MA (796.43) · 10.26% (3.1× ATR) below the 50-day MA (808.18) · 10.15% (3.0× ATR) below the 200-day MA (807.14)

Technical assessment

A transparent, rules-based reading of the statistics on this page — informational and educational only, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Each scored factor shows the metrics behind it; full numbers are in the sections below.

Factor tally: 4 negative

Technical assessment factors
Factor	Reading	Summary
Short-term momentum	5/10-day returns: -6.15% · -16.01%; MACD -23.03 below signal -12.80; histogram -10.23 (up 0.33 on the previous session).	Fading
Medium-term trend	20/60/120-day returns: -10.24% · -16.95% · -10.47%.	Negative
Moving averages	price vs 20/50/200-day MA: -8.94% · -10.26% · -10.15%; stack 50d > 200d > 20d.	Below trend MAs
Relative performance	vs the S&P 500 over 20/60/252 days: -9.57% · -20.99% · +21.86%; vs the Nasdaq 100: -6.25% · -22.16% · +18.77%.	Underperforming

Figures reflect the official regular-session close for 2026-10-20.

Price chart

Close price and 20/50/200-day simple moving averages over the last 252 sessions, with the 52-week high/low band. Over the plotted window the close ranged from 513.91 to 1064.9, ending at 725.24. The latest close is below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages.

Close price over the last 20 sessions, with the 20-day moving average marked (dashed).

Price and momentum

Close: 725.24 USD
Daily change: down 0.08% — 7th percentile by magnitude since 1962 (16307 obs)
vs market (same day): S&P 500 +0.28% · Nasdaq 100 -0.10%
MACD (12, 26, 9): -23.03 (below signal) · signal -12.80 · histogram -10.23 · +0.33 vs 2026-10-19
20-day return: -10.24% — 7th percentile since 1962 (16288 obs) · +1 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19

RSI(14)

RSI(14): 29.74 — 4th percentile since 1962 (16294 obs) · -0.09 (6th percentile move · +0 pctile pts) vs 2026-10-19 · -8.45 vs 2026-10-13
RSI last overbought: 162 days ago (2026-05-11)
RSI last oversold: 1 day ago (2026-10-19)

Session

Listing: Exchange: NYSE, Currency: USD
Open: 711.0 USD
High: 734.38 USD
Low: 708.75 USD
Prior close: 725.79 USD
Prior O/H/L: O 739.5 USD · H 740.0 USD · L 718.44 USD
Gap (overnight): -2.04% — 97th percentile by magnitude since 1962 (16307 obs)
Intraday (session): +2.00%
Intraday range: 3.53% of price — 88th percentile since 1962 (16308 obs)
Close position: 64.3% of range
Up days (history): 50.8% of 15456 directional sessions (flat days excluded)
Daily-move distribution: -2.80% / -0.92% / +0.00% / +1.02% / +3.00% (p5–p95; -20.27 to +21.73 USD at today’s close; 16307 obs)
≥4% daily moves: 1 of last 20 sessions (5%) — 0 up, 1 down

Moving averages

Moving averages
Period	Value	Price vs MA
20-day MA	796.43 USD	-8.94% · +0.40 pp (23rd percentile move since 1962) vs 2026-10-19 · -3.89 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 2.6× its typical daily range (ATR)
50-day MA	808.18 USD	-10.26% · +0.18 pp (11th percentile move since 1962) vs 2026-10-19 · -4.44 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 3.1× its typical daily range (ATR)
200-day MA	807.14 USD	-10.15% · -0.14 pp (9th percentile move since 1962) vs 2026-10-19 · -6.34 pp vs 2026-10-13 · 3.0× its typical daily range (ATR)
VWAP (20-day)	790.29 USD	-8.23%
VWAP (60-day)	811.86 USD	-10.67%

Moving-average trend & crossovers

200-day slope (20-session): +2.64% · rising
Price vs 20-day MA: closed below it for 10 sessions, since 2026-10-07
Price vs 50-day MA: closed below it for 10 sessions, since 2026-10-07
Price vs 200-day MA: closed below it for 9 sessions, since 2026-10-08
20-day / 50-day: 20-day crossed below 50-day · 2026-07-28 (84 days ago)
20-day / 200-day: 20-day crossed below 200-day · 2026-10-16 (4 days ago)
50-day / 200-day: 50-day crossed above 200-day · 2025-07-16 (461 days ago)

52-week range

Position: 38.2% of range
Drawdown from all-time intraday high: -32.44% · 112 days ago (2026-06-30)
Maximum drawdown (10-year, close-basis): -46.25% · 2018-01-22 170.89 USD → 2020-03-23 91.85 USD · recovered 2020-11-10
52-week high: 1073.46 USD · price -32.44% · 2026-06-30 (112 days ago)
52-week low: 510.21 USD · price +42.15% · 2025-10-22 (363 days ago)

Volatility

5-day realised volatility: 1.191% daily · 18.9% annualised — 39th percentile since 1962 (16303 obs)
20-day realised volatility: 2.040% daily · 32.4% annualised — 74th percentile since 1962 (16288 obs) · +0 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19 · +0.01 pp vs 2026-10-13
60-day realised volatility: 2.226% daily · 35.3% annualised — 83rd percentile since 1962 (16248 obs)
120-day realised volatility: 2.683% daily · 42.6% annualised — 94th percentile since 1962 (16188 obs)
Term structure (20d vs 120d): 0.76× — 2.04% vs 2.683% (near-term below its longer-horizon baseline)
ATR (14): 26.92 USD · 3.71% of price — 93rd percentile since 1962 (16294 obs)

Volume and participation

Relative volume: 1.04× prior 20-day average (excl. today) — 64th percentile since 1962 (16288 obs) · -1 pctile pts vs 2026-10-19 · -0.46× vs 2026-10-13
Volume: 2.65M shares
3-month avg volume (63 sessions): 2.68M shares/day
Dollar volume: $1.92B — 50th percentile (trailing 252 sessions) · 50th percentile (trailing 20 sessions) · scales with price level; see relative volume above for a price-neutral read
20-day avg $ volume: $2.04B

Short interest and short volume

Short volume: 40.8% of reported volume (339K of 831K shares; FINRA off-exchange/TRF volume, not the consolidated tape, as of 2026-10-20) · prior 20-session average 53.3% · 13th percentile of the past 252 sessions
Days to cover: 3.23 · short interest 8.01M shares ÷ 2.47M avg daily volume (settlement-window average), -4.4% since prior settlement (FINRA, settled 2026-09-30; reported twice monthly)
Short interest (% of shares outstanding): 1.74% of shares outstanding (not free float) — short interest settled 2026-09-30 ÷ shares outstanding cover-page as-of 2026-06-30

Returns

5-day: -6.15% — 6th percentile since 1962 (16303 obs) · from 772.78 USD on 2026-10-13
10-day: -16.01% — 1st percentile since 1962 (16298 obs) · from 863.44 USD on 2026-10-06
20-day: -10.24% — 7th percentile since 1962 (16288 obs) · from 808.01 USD on 2026-09-22
60-day: -16.95% — 6th percentile since 1962 (16248 obs) · from 873.28 USD on 2026-07-27
120-day: -10.47% — 20th percentile since 1962 (16188 obs) · from 810.05 USD on 2026-04-29
252-day: +37.60% — 79th percentile since 1962 (16056 obs) · from 527.08 USD on 2025-10-17
Year to date: +26.60% · from 572.87 USD on 2025-12-31
Overnight vs intraday (20d): overnight -7.15% · intraday -3.33% (compounds to -10.24% total)
Overnight vs intraday (60d): overnight +19.05% · intraday -30.24% (compounds to -16.95% total)
Overnight vs intraday (252d): overnight +63.97% · intraday -16.08% (compounds to +37.60% total)

Market factor

S&P 500 (52-week): beta +0.76 · correlation +0.28
S&P 500 (26-week): beta +0.59 · correlation +0.20
Nasdaq 100 (52-week): beta +0.57 · correlation +0.34
Nasdaq 100 (26-week): beta +0.61 · correlation +0.41
Industrials (XLI, 52-week): beta +1.53 · correlation +0.63
Industrials (XLI, 26-week): beta +1.61 · correlation +0.57
Industrials (XLI) — this stock's weight, as of 2026-06-30 (quarterly SEC filing): 8.5%
10Y TIPS real-yield change (52-week): correlation +0.01
10Y TIPS real-yield change (26-week): correlation +0.28

Key dates

Next earnings: 2026-10-29 (9 days)
Next Fed decision (FOMC): 2026-10-28 (8 days)
Next jobs report (BLS): 2026-11-06 (17 days)
Next CPI (BLS): 2026-11-10 (21 days)
Next quarterly index rebalance (S&P 500 & Nasdaq-100): 2026-12-18 (59 days) — effective the following trading day
Next monthly options expiration: 2026-11-20 (31 days)
Last earnings reported: 2026-08-04 (77 days ago)
Earnings reaction (realised): ±4.03% median 1-day move · 0.12–11.63% range · last 12 reported
Recent SEC filings: 8-K 2026-10-15 (Items 5.02, 8.01, 9.01) · 10-Q 2026-08-05 · 10-K 2026-02-13 · proxy 2026-04-30 (EDGAR)
Last ex-dividend: 2026-07-20, $1.63

Volatility by rate-era

pre-crisis (to 2008): 1.83% (data from 1962-01-02)
ZIRP (2009–2015): 2.02%
tightening (2015–2018): 1.72%
ZIRP (2019–2021): 2.11%
tightening (2022–2023): 1.96%
easing (2024– ): 2.07%

Market backdrop: 10Y 5.15% (as of 2026-10-19) · VIX 17.31 (as of 2026-10-20) · dollar 121.40 (as of 2026-10-16) — Treasury curve, real yields, VIX and the dollar

Risk & context

RSI: Oversold
Volatility: Normal
52-week position: Lower portion
Beta: Low
Relative volume: Normal
Earnings: 2026-10-29

What these badges mean

RSI: RSI(14) is 29.74. Below 30 oversold, 70 and above overbought; between them neither extreme: 30–45 neutral-low, 45–55 neutral, 55–70 neutral-high. A condition, not a direction.
Volatility: 20-day realised volatility at the 74th percentile of its own history since 1962. Higher = larger daily swings; a risk measure, not a direction.
52-week position: Trading at 38.2% of the 52-week range. Position only — a range position is not itself bullish or bearish.
Beta: 52-week beta to the S&P 500 is +0.76. Higher = amplifies market moves; a risk measure, not a direction.
Relative volume: Relative volume 1.04x its 20-day average, 64th percentile since 1962. Participation behind the move; not a direction.
Earnings: Next scheduled earnings: 2026-10-29 (in 9 days).

Scoring method

Short-term momentum: Majority of three votes: the combined 5- and 10-day returns (one vote); MACD against its signal line; the histogram's change on the previous session. A tie reads Mixed.
Medium-term trend: Based on the majority sign of the medium-term return horizons.
Moving averages: Scored on price vs the 50- and 200-day trend averages.
Relative performance: Scored on the majority sign of relative return vs the S&P 500.

Relative performance

This stock’s return minus a benchmark’s over the same window (percentage points; positive = outperformed), at three adjustments: raw vs the index, beta-adjusted excess (isolating the stock-specific move) and vs its sector ETF.

Raw, vs market index

Relative performance, raw vs market index
Relative return	S&P 500	Nasdaq 100
5-day	-4.96%	-2.66%
10-day	-14.65%	-10.47%
20-day	-9.57%	-6.25%
60-day	-20.99%	-22.16%
252-day	+21.86%	+18.77%

Beta-adjusted excess

Stock return minus its beta times the index’s return (single-factor approximation, not a causal claim).

Beta-adjusted excess return
Excess return	S&P 500	Nasdaq 100
1-day	-0.29%	-0.02%
5-day	-5.25%	-4.16%
10-day	-14.97%	-12.85%
20-day	-9.73%	-7.97%
60-day	-20.02%	-19.92%
252-day	+25.64%	+26.86%

vs sector ETF (XLI · Industrials)

Return minus the SPDR sector ETF’s (“vs XLI”; positive = outpaced the sector), plus the ETF’s own return.

Relative performance vs sector ETF
Sector return	vs XLI	XLI own
1-day	-0.15%	+0.07%
5-day	-5.04%	-1.11%
10-day	-13.22%	-2.79%
20-day	-8.21%	-2.04%
60-day	-8.00%	-8.95%
252-day	+27.66%	+9.93%

Compared with other stocks

Rank among covered stocks

This stock’s standing on each measure across the covered-stock universe (1 = highest) — a cross-sectional companion to the own-history percentiles above, computed from the same daily dataset. Ranks compare each stock’s current reading; the underlying own-history percentiles draw on histories of differing length (some reaching into coarser early-era pricing), so they are not strictly comparable instrument-to-instrument — read each alongside its own “since YYYY” basis in the table above.

Rank among covered stocks
Measure	Rank
20-day return	41 of 48 stocks
RSI(14)	46 of 48 stocks
52-week position	33 of 48 stocks
20-day realised vol	13 of 48 stocks
Relative volume	14 of 48 stocks

Of its 3 Industrials peers today: 1 up, 2 down · median -0.50% · Caterpillar (CAT) -0.08% (+0.42 pp vs peer median).

Across the 48 covered stocks today: 29 advancing, 19 declining · 27/48 above their 20-day MA, 25/48 above 50-day, 28/48 above 200-day · median 20-day return -0.60%. Caterpillar (CAT) is below its 20-, 50- and 200-day MAs (20-day return -9.63 pp vs the median stock).

Sector peers — Industrials

Sector peers
Stock	Same-day	20-day return	RSI percentile	52-wk position	Next earnings
Caterpillar (CAT)	-0.08%	-10.24%	4th	38.2%	2026-10-29 · 9d
Boeing (BA)	-0.50%	-3.67%	29th	17.7%	2026-10-27 · 7d
Lockheed Martin (LMT)	+0.09%	+5.05%	80th	43.8%	2026-10-22 · 2d
GE Aerospace (GE)	-3.67%	-6.06%	7th	25.8%	2026-10-20 · released today

Each stock’s own latest readings for 2026-10-20, from the same daily dataset. 52-week position: 0% at the low, 100% at the high.

Full daily summary

At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) had an RSI(14) of 29.74, in the 4th percentile of its history since 1962. Its 20-day return of -10.24% is in the 7th percentile of its history since 1962. At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) traded at 38.2% of its 52-week range. RSI below 30 is conventionally termed oversold. The RSI(14) of Caterpillar (CAT) last entered the overbought zone 162 days ago (2026-05-11) and the oversold zone 1 day ago (2026-10-19). It is trading below its 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 20/50/200-day moving averages of Caterpillar (CAT) were 796.43 / 808.18 / 807.14 USD, with price -8.94% / -10.26% / -10.15% against them. Ranked from highest to lowest, its moving averages are the 50-day, 200-day and 20-day. At the 2026-10-20 close, the 52-week range of Caterpillar (CAT) was 510.21–1073.46 USD; it closed 32.44% below the high (12.9× its typical daily range) and 42.15% above the low (8.0× its typical daily range). The high was set 112 days ago (2026-06-30) and the low 363 days ago (2025-10-22). At the 2026-10-20 close, Caterpillar (CAT) was 32.44% below its all-time intraday high of 1073.46 USD, set 112 days ago (2026-06-30). Its 20-day volatility is 2.040% daily, in the 74th percentile of its history since 1962. Its daily realised volatility is 1.191% over 5 days, 2.040% over 20 days, 2.226% over 60 days and 2.683% over 120 days. Annualised, these are 18.9%, 32.4%, 35.3% and 42.6% respectively. Its 14-day average true range (ATR) is 26.92 USD, 3.71% of price. It has returned -6.15% (6th percentile since 1962) over 5 days, -16.01% (1st) over 10 days, -10.24% (7th) over 20 days, -16.95% (6th) over 60 days, -10.47% (20th) over 120 days and +37.60% (79th) over 252 days. Against the S&P 500, its weekly returns show a beta of +0.76 and a correlation of +0.28 over 52 weeks; over 26 weeks, a beta of +0.59 and a correlation of +0.20. Relative to the S&P 500, it has returned -4.96% (5-day), -14.65% (10-day), -9.57% (20-day), -20.99% (60-day) and +21.86% (252-day). Its weekly-return correlation with changes in the US 10-year TIPS real yield is +0.01 over 52 weeks and +0.28 over 26 weeks. Next earnings are scheduled for 2026-10-29.

Methodology

This page reports market statistics computed from daily closing data. It states figures and their historical context, and adds a Technical Assessment: a transparent, rules-based reading that puts those same statistics into plain language, including a factor sign tally — a count of how many scored factors read positive, negative or mixed, not a composite score or analyst rating. Every reading follows a fixed, published rule and traces back to the metrics on this page. It is informational and educational only — not investment advice, a price target, a forecast or a recommendation to buy or sell.

Full definitions for every metric on this page — how each is computed, over what window and on what basis — are on the methodology page.

Machine-readable: this page’s numbers and 252-session price history as JSON or the daily close and moving-average series as CSV — the figures above plus the series behind the chart, refreshed each session.

See where Caterpillar (CAT) ranks among today’s most statistically unusual readings on the cross-asset market screener.

See what RSI extremes and other signals have historically been followed by for Caterpillar (CAT) in its measured signal track record.